Which AI doom indexes can you compare? · Which AI indexes does SIREN contrast?
SIREN vs AI Fear & Trust Index: which should you use?
Closest in spirit: both measure something observable, not danger. SIREN counts AI activity (releases, compute, money, governance, markets, attention), not fear in posts, and every input is public.
AI activity index today · AI activity level today · SIREN → · state.json → · Scale runs 5 (quietest) to 1 (loudest). Tempo, not danger.
What is each one?
| Index | What it measures | Who sets it | Recomputable? |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIREN | How much is happening in AI (tempo across five pillars) | A published formula over public data, hourly | Yes — from the receipt and open code |
| DoomBench | A qualitative “doom index” from sourced evidence for and against an AI-takeover scenario | Their scoring rules over curated evidence items | No |
| Skynet Countdown | Estimated chance of AI control loss and an estimated AGI date, plus tagged news | Their risk and timeline model over breakthroughs and headlines | No |
| p(doom) clocks | One person’s (or a site’s) stated probability that AI ends badly, often as a clock | Whoever picks the number | No |
| PizzINT | A pizza-and-intel novelty index that borrows DEFCON and Doomsday Clock language in the title | Their site’s framing over pizza / intel metaphors — not a published AI-activity formula | No |
| Takeoff Tracker | A dashboard of AGI-adjacent signals — Metaculus-style timelines, AI stock moves, arena leaderboards, GPU power, datacentres, and collected p(doom) estimates | Their curated dashboard over public prediction markets, markets data and linked leaderboards | No |
| The AI Doomsday Clock (aidoomsday.live) | Where stated expert probabilities of AI catastrophe cluster, shown as a clock (it reads the 10–20% cluster) | The site, reading a spread of named researchers’ and lab leaders’ stated p(doom) | No |
| IMD AI Safety Clock | Risk from uncontrolled AGI across sophistication, autonomy and execution, set as minutes to midnight (it launched at 29 and has since moved to 15) | IMD researchers, combining a news-tracking dashboard with desk research and expert judgement | No |
| AI Fear & Trust Index | How much and how intensely people talk about existential risk for each model or lab, with a minutes-to-midnight display | A published formula over posts that their own language model classifies | No |
What is AI Fear & Trust Index?
- Public claim: A computed index of existential-risk discourse about named AI systems.
- Measures: How much and how intensely people talk about existential risk for each model or lab, with a minutes-to-midnight display.
- Set by: A published formula over posts that their own language model classifies.
- Recomputable by a stranger: Partly: the weights are published, but the inputs are labels from their own classifier, so a stranger cannot rebuild the score from raw public data.
- Also ships: Per-model and per-lab rankings over a 72-hour window.
- Their site: aifeartrustindex.com/doom
What is SIREN?
- Measures: AI activity tempo across capability, compute & capital, attention, governance and markets.
- Set by: a published formula over public data, hourly.
- Recomputable: yes — receipt, open code, CORS JSON.
- Does not publish: takeover probability, AGI date, anyone’s p(doom), a military DEFCON level, or the Bulletin’s Doomsday Clock.
What questions do people actually ask?
SIREN vs AI Fear & Trust Index: which should you use?
Use AI Fear & Trust Index if you want how much and how intensely people talk about existential risk for each model or lab, with a minutes-to-midnight display. Use SIREN if you want an hourly AI activity tempo reading with open inputs and a receipt. They are not substitutes for the same claim.
Can I recompute AI Fear & Trust Index?
Partly: the weights are published, but the inputs are labels from their own classifier, so a stranger cannot rebuild the score from raw public data
Does SIREN publish the same number as AI Fear & Trust Index?
No. SIREN does not score a computed index of existential-risk discourse about named ai systems. It scores observable activity across five pillars and says so on every page.
What is AI Fear & Trust Index?
AI Fear & Trust Index: A computed index of existential-risk discourse about named AI systems. Measures How much and how intensely people talk about existential risk for each model or lab, with a minutes-to-midnight display. Set by A published formula over posts that their own language model classifies.
What is SIREN?
SIREN measures AI activity tempo across capability, compute & capital, attention, governance and markets with a published formula over public data, hourly.
Where should you go next?
AI activity index today · AI activity level today · SIREN → · How the SIREN AI activity index is computed · methodology · Which AI doom indexes can you compare? · Which AI indexes does SIREN contrast? · What are AI doom index alternatives? · Is there an AI doomsday clock? → · How the SIREN AI activity index is computed · methodology →