UTC05:21ZNowSIREN 456.6/100Delta+0.5upsince 03:34ZObservedSources15/15reportingStatusOPERATIONAL

THIS WEEK IN CHARTS · LIVE

What AI charts does SIREN publish?

Seven charts on AI activity tempo and electricity, live where the data allows. Hit 🖼 Post with image on any chart to post it to X as a picture, with your own words.

1. What are the odds for the best AI model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic 45% vs Google 40% to have the best AI model at the end of 2026.

0%25%50%75%100%1Anthropic45%▲52Google40%▼23OpenAI8%▲14Meta4%▲15xAI2%6Alibaba1%
LIVE · Polymarket · trade it

2. Which AI bets are hottest right now?

Bubble size is money traded in the last 24 hours; green rose this week, red fell.

Loading live markets…

LIVE · Polymarket, ranked by 24-hour volume

3. What does the SIREN dial read?

SIREN reads 56.6, level 4, down 2.8 on the week.

5 DORMANT4 ROUTINE3 ELEVATED2 ACCELERATED1 UNPRECEDENTED56.6SIREN LEVEL 4▼ 2.8 on the week
LIVE · SIREN, hourly · How the SIREN AI activity index is computed · methodology

4. What does a week of SIREN look like as a heat strip?

Loudest hour this week: Thu, 08 Oct 08:00 UTC at 59.5.

00h03h06h09h12h15h18h21hFri 10-092026-10-09 0:00 UTC · 55.42026-10-09 1:00 UTC · 55.52026-10-09 2:00 UTC · 56.22026-10-09 3:00 UTC · 57.22026-10-09 4:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-09 5:00 UTC · 58.02026-10-09 6:00 UTC · 58.32026-10-09 7:00 UTC · 58.52026-10-09 8:00 UTC · 58.42026-10-09 9:00 UTC · 58.22026-10-09 10:00 UTC · 58.12026-10-09 11:00 UTC · 57.82026-10-09 12:00 UTC · 57.72026-10-09 13:00 UTC · 57.62026-10-09 14:00 UTC · 57.52026-10-09 15:00 UTC · 57.42026-10-09 16:00 UTC · 57.42026-10-09 17:00 UTC · 57.32026-10-09 18:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-09 19:00 UTC · 56.92026-10-09 20:00 UTC · 56.72026-10-09 21:00 UTC · 56.42026-10-09 22:00 UTC · 56.32026-10-09 23:00 UTC · 56.3Sat 10-102026-10-10 0:00 UTC · 56.22026-10-10 1:00 UTC · 56.22026-10-10 2:00 UTC · 56.22026-10-10 3:00 UTC · 56.22026-10-10 4:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-10 5:00 UTC · 56.22026-10-10 6:00 UTC · 56.12026-10-10 7:00 UTC · 56.12026-10-10 8:00 UTC · 56.02026-10-10 9:00 UTC · 55.92026-10-10 10:00 UTC · 56.02026-10-10 11:00 UTC · 55.82026-10-10 12:00 UTC · 55.62026-10-10 13:00 UTC · 55.52026-10-10 14:00 UTC · 55.42026-10-10 15:00 UTC · 55.22026-10-10 16:00 UTC · 55.22026-10-10 17:00 UTC · 54.92026-10-10 18:00 UTC · 54.62026-10-10 19:00 UTC · 54.52026-10-10 20:00 UTC · 54.42026-10-10 21:00 UTC · 54.32026-10-10 22:00 UTC · 54.22026-10-10 23:00 UTC · 54.1Sun 10-112026-10-11 0:00 UTC · 54.02026-10-11 1:00 UTC · 53.92026-10-11 2:00 UTC · 53.82026-10-11 3:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-11 4:00 UTC · 53.82026-10-11 5:00 UTC · 53.82026-10-11 6:00 UTC · 53.72026-10-11 7:00 UTC · 53.72026-10-11 8:00 UTC · 53.62026-10-11 9:00 UTC · 53.62026-10-11 10:00 UTC · 53.52026-10-11 11:00 UTC · 53.32026-10-11 12:00 UTC · 53.12026-10-11 13:00 UTC · 52.92026-10-11 14:00 UTC · 52.72026-10-11 15:00 UTC · 52.52026-10-11 16:00 UTC · 52.22026-10-11 17:00 UTC · 52.02026-10-11 18:00 UTC · 51.82026-10-11 19:00 UTC · 51.62026-10-11 20:00 UTC · 51.22026-10-11 21:00 UTC · 51.02026-10-11 22:00 UTC · 50.82026-10-11 23:00 UTC · 50.7Mon 10-122026-10-12 0:00 UTC · 50.52026-10-12 1:00 UTC · 50.82026-10-12 2:00 UTC · 51.62026-10-12 3:00 UTC · 51.92026-10-12 4:00 UTC · 52.52026-10-12 5:00 UTC · 52.92026-10-12 6:00 UTC · 52.92026-10-12 7:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-12 8:00 UTC · 52.82026-10-12 9:00 UTC · 52.72026-10-12 10:00 UTC · 52.72026-10-12 11:00 UTC · 52.22026-10-12 12:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-12 13:00 UTC · 52.02026-10-12 14:00 UTC · 51.92026-10-12 15:00 UTC · 52.02026-10-12 16:00 UTC · 51.92026-10-12 17:00 UTC · 51.42026-10-12 18:00 UTC · 51.12026-10-12 19:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-12 20:00 UTC · 50.52026-10-12 21:00 UTC · 50.22026-10-12 22:00 UTC · 50.02026-10-12 23:00 UTC · 49.6Tue 10-132026-10-13 0:00 UTC · 49.72026-10-13 1:00 UTC · 49.82026-10-13 2:00 UTC · 49.82026-10-13 3:00 UTC · 49.82026-10-13 4:00 UTC · 49.82026-10-13 5:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-13 6:00 UTC · 49.82026-10-13 7:00 UTC · 49.82026-10-13 8:00 UTC · 49.72026-10-13 9:00 UTC · 49.72026-10-13 10:00 UTC · 49.62026-10-13 11:00 UTC · 49.62026-10-13 12:00 UTC · 49.52026-10-13 13:00 UTC · 49.42026-10-13 14:00 UTC · 49.32026-10-13 15:00 UTC · 49.12026-10-13 16:00 UTC · 49.02026-10-13 17:00 UTC · 48.82026-10-13 18:00 UTC · 48.22026-10-13 19:00 UTC · 47.92026-10-13 20:00 UTC · 47.62026-10-13 21:00 UTC · 47.42026-10-13 22:00 UTC · 46.82026-10-13 23:00 UTC · 46.5Wed 10-142026-10-14 0:00 UTC · 46.32026-10-14 1:00 UTC · 47.22026-10-14 2:00 UTC · 48.92026-10-14 3:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-14 4:00 UTC · 56.72026-10-14 5:00 UTC · 57.52026-10-14 6:00 UTC · 57.52026-10-14 7:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-14 8:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-14 9:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-14 10:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-14 11:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-14 12:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-14 13:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-14 14:00 UTC · 56.52026-10-14 15:00 UTC · 56.12026-10-14 16:00 UTC · 55.72026-10-14 17:00 UTC · 55.52026-10-14 18:00 UTC · 55.42026-10-14 19:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-14 20:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-14 21:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-14 22:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-14 23:00 UTC · no readingThu 10-152026-10-15 0:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 1:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 2:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 3:00 UTC · 56.12026-10-15 4:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 5:00 UTC · 56.62026-10-15 6:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 7:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 8:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 9:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 10:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 11:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 12:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 13:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 14:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 15:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 16:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 17:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 18:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 19:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 20:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 21:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 22:00 UTC · no reading2026-10-15 23:00 UTC · no readingUTC hours · colour = SIREN level band, brighter = louder
LIVE · SIREN hourly readings

5. What is driving the index: the pillars?

Biggest mover this week: Capability, down 6.8.

284052647610/810/15Capability 66Governance 54Compute & capital 46Attention 43
LIVE · SIREN pillar readings, hourly

6. Who is winning the power race since 2000?

China generated 2.3× the electricity of the US in 2025. In 2000 it was less than a third.

02,8055,6098,41411,21820002025China 10,583United States 4,520EU 2,797India 2,082
Our World in Data · Who makes the most electricity (China vs US)?

7. How is the world's electricity split in 100 squares?

Of every 100 units of electricity made on Earth in 2025, China made 33 and the US 14.

China33% · 10,583 TWhUnited States14% · 4,520 TWhIndia7% · 2,082 TWhRussia4% · 1,193 TWhJapan3% · 1,030 TWhRest of the world39% · 191 more countries
Our World in Data · 2025

Polymarket links carry SIREN’s tracking tag. Prediction markets are restricted in some places. Not financial advice. Every chart is drawn from the data shown; nothing is estimated. A dark feed keeps the build-time chart.

What questions do people actually ask?

What AI charts does SIREN publish?

Seven charts on AI activity tempo and electricity, live where the data allows: the Polymarket odds race for best AI model, the hottest AI bets, the SIREN dial and week heat strip, pillar drivers, the China–US power race, and the world electricity waffle.

What are the odds for the best AI model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic 45% vs Google 40% to have the best AI model at the end of 2026.

Which AI bets are hottest right now?

Bubble size is money traded in the last 24 hours; green rose this week, red fell.

What does the SIREN dial read?

SIREN reads 56.6, level 4, down 2.8 on the week.

What does a week of SIREN look like as a heat strip?

Loudest hour this week: Thu, 08 Oct 08:00 UTC at 59.5.

What is driving the index: the pillars?

Biggest mover this week: Capability, down 6.8.

Who is winning the power race since 2000?

China generated 2.3× the electricity of the US in 2025. In 2000 it was less than a third.

How is the world's electricity split in 100 squares?

Of every 100 units of electricity made on Earth in 2025, China made 33 and the US 14.

Are any of these charts estimated?

Every chart is drawn from the data shown; nothing is estimated. A dark feed keeps the build-time chart.

Can I post a chart to X as an image?

Hit Post with image on any chart to post it to X as a picture, with your own words. On a phone this opens your share sheet with the picture and words; on a computer the picture is copied and X opens with your words.

How do you post this chart to 𝕏?

Hit Post with image on any chart. On a phone this opens your share sheet with the picture and words: pick X. On a computer the picture is copied, X opens with your words, and you paste the picture into the post.

Where is the full power race table?

The power race chart links to the full Our World in Data table on the power page.

Does SIREN publish a charts-page doom score?

No. Activity tempo, not probability of harm. These charts show activity tempo and electricity — not a probability of harm.

Search-shaped sibling: Who makes the most electricity (China vs US)?.

SIREN is free and carries no display ads. Keep it running: Support SIREN on Ko-fi →

News & alerts live · news – · SIREN score (hourly) Feedback ☕ Support𝕏 Post