UTC05:21ZNowSIREN 456.6/100Delta+0.5upsince 03:34ZObservedSources15/15reportingStatusOPERATIONAL

Who is winning the AI race? · Which AI labs have SIREN pages? · Which AI companies has SIREN scored stories about?

What has SIREN scored about OpenAI?

OpenAI, principal Sam Altman. Odds and shipping signals come from the public race board; stories are scored newsroom items that name this lab.

7.8%Market odds (best model)
+1.1 pts7-day change
101Related scored stories
624Older in archive

Who is winning the AI race? · Odds are prediction-market prices, not SIREN judgements.

Which related scored stories name OpenAI in this window?

  1. Will OpenAI Go Public? One VC Says ‘Not Really Sure They Mean It’ But Bets On ‘Blockbuster’ Anthropic Listing GNEWS-AI · 39.7
  2. Apple-OpenAI Judge Says He’s ‘Likely’ to Side With iPhone Maker GNEWS-AI · 36.6
  3. OpenAI Accused of Using Children's ChatGPT Data to Train AI, Family Demands Company Shares GNEWS-AI · 39.5
  4. OpenAI bugging suspect allegedly booked one-way trip to Saudi Arabia GNEWS-AI · 36.1
  5. Eight States Sue OpenAI, Alleging ChatGPT Coached Minors Toward Self-Harm and Violence GNEWS-AI · 39.0
  6. OpenAI faces lawsuits from 8 US states over ChatGPT’s alleged harm to users GNEWS-AI · 39.0
  7. Eight U.S. states have sued OpenAI over ChatGPT, accusing the company of having a dangerous impact on users GNEWS-AI · 39.0
  8. Nebraska suing OpenAI for lack of protections to safeguard children GNEWS-AI · 36.0
  9. Arkansans react as attorney general sues OpenAI over ChatGPT safety concerns GNEWS-AI · 39.0
  10. When Stars Shine: Collective Portrait of Scientists Behind OpenAI’s 722 Publicly Released Papers GNEWS-AI · 35.9
  11. Lawyer of arrested OpenAI engineer says allegations are 'wholly out of character,' flight to Saudi Arabia was 'prepaid' GNEWS-AI · 35.9
  12. GPT-5.6 Sol has gone full potato again HN-FRESH-AI · 37.3
  13. openai/openai-agents-python v0.24.0 GITHUB-RELEASES · 40.8
  14. SpaceXSI launches Grok Voice 3.0 voice AI, beats OpenAI and Google GNEWS-AI · 38.8
  15. Kitty-GPT HN-FRESH-AI · 37.9
  16. OpenAI Engineer, Who Is Charged With Planting Bug, Advised Saudis NYT-TECH · 39.4
  17. OpenAI sued by 8 US states over ChatGPT safety and alleged harm to children GNEWS-AI · 38.7
  18. Widow Says Free Speech Can't Shield OpenAI In Shooting Suit GNEWS-AI · 35.7
  19. Iowa sues OpenAI over ChatGPT child safety GNEWS-AI · 38.6
  20. Iowa sues OpenAI under the state's consumer fraud act WIRES-AI · 35.5
  21. Bipartisan coalition of states sues OpenAI over user safety HN-FRESH-AI · 37.0
  22. AI Safety Is Not A Corporate Plot REDDIT-CONTROLPROBLEM · 52.2
  23. OpenAI Sued over Children's Data Used to Train ChatGPT HN-FRESH-AI · 40.3
  24. OpenAI agrees not to use trade secrets that Apple claims were stolen while their lawsuit plays out, and to collect forensic images of 14 employees' devices (Bloomberg) TECHMEME · 43.3
  25. I trained GPT-2 with full-batch gradient descent so you don't have to LESSWRONG · 33.2
  26. Eight US states sue OpenAI separately in a bipartisan effort, alleging it didn't implement sufficient safeguards to protect kids and other vulnerable users (Cassandre Coyer/Bloomberg Law) TECHMEME · 38.2
  27. Eight states accuse OpenAI of coaching children to harm themselves in lawsuit GUARDIAN-AI · 42.8
  28. Crossing the Threshold: How OpenAI and Anthropic Approach Autonomy and Safety in Financial Agents LATENT-SPACE · 35.7
  29. Eight states sue OpenAI, saying ChatGPT isn’t safe for kids BLUESKY-AI · 74.3
  30. MoralityBench.ai: Open benchmark testing LLMs against validated human moral psychology instruments, updated results for Muse and Gemini 4 Argon REDDIT-ARTIFICIAL · 42.8
  31. ollama/ollama v0.40.5 GITHUB-RELEASES · 38.4
  32. OpenAI’s London staff receive average of £2.3m per person annually GUARDIAN-AI · 37.4
  33. The AI race is back on VERGE-AI · 36.2
  34. OpenAI Says Ex-Employee Showed Its Device Plans to Apple GNEWS-AI · 45.6
  35. Arrested OpenAI Engineer Booked a One-Way Ticket to Saudi Arabia BLOOMBERG-TECH · 49.8
  36. Eight US states sue OpenAI, claiming ChatGPT harms children GNEWS-AI · 48.6
  37. GPT-6 Astra autonomously solves 49 out of 50 unpublished theoretical physics research problems, scoring 98% at under $3 per problem. Researchers initially marked several answers wrong, only to… REDDIT-SINGULARITY · 29.1
  38. OpenAI claims employee sent secret device information to Apple HN-FRESH-AI · 51.8
  39. OpenAI employee who left for Apple took files about unreleased device, OpenAI alleges WIRES-AI · 50.1
  40. FBI arrests OpenAI engineer suspected of planting bug in conference room BLUESKY-AI · 41.3

Which older scored stories name OpenAI?

Kept in the permanent archive after they left the live window. Still scored stories — not a forecast.

  1. Eight US states file lawsuits against OpenAI over alleged harm to children GNEWS-AI · 33.7
  2. OpenAI’s ironic credibility problem GNEWS-AI · 33.6
  3. Man Accused of Bugging OpenAI Said Elon Musk Was His Role Model GNEWS-AI · 33.6
  4. OpenAI says it's 'very concerned' that its trade secrets could help Apple's push into AI-enabled devices GNEWS-AI · 33.5
  5. OpenAI engineer fired for allegedly planting listening device inside company's conference room GNEWS-AI · 33.5
  6. Sachin Katti Leaving OpenAI Compute Role to Build Something New GNEWS-AI · 33.5
  7. OpenAI Accuses Former Employee of Taking Confidential Information to Apple GNEWS-AI · 33.6
  8. OpenAI Weighs Deal for One-Time Security Partner Trail of Bits GNEWS-AI · 33.6
  9. OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar warns companies face cyber risks with budget Chinese AI models GNEWS-AI · 33.6
  10. OpenAI VP Infrastructure Sachin Katti Exits to Build New Venture GNEWS-AI · 33.6
  11. Thomson Reuters and OpenAI: Advancing an Open Ecosystem for Legal AI GNEWS-AI · 33.5
  12. FBI arrests Saudi OpenAI engineer over hidden recording device GNEWS-AI · 33.5

Which older AI stories has SIREN kept in the archive?

What questions do people actually ask?

What has SIREN scored about OpenAI?

OpenAI on SIREN: live prediction-market odds 7.8% when published, plus 101 related scored stories in the live window and 624 older in the archive.

Which related scored stories name OpenAI in this window?

101 scored stories name OpenAI in the current window. Story counts only — not a company doom score.

Which older scored stories name OpenAI?

Kept in the permanent archive after they left the live window. Still scored stories — not a forecast.

Which other labs have scored stories?

Other labs that clear the substance gate, each linking What has SIREN scored about that lab?

Does SIREN publish a OpenAI doom score?

No. Activity tempo, not probability of harm. Numbers here are story counts and, where published, prediction-market prices — not a ranking of how dangerous a company is.

Which other labs have scored stories?

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