{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": -1.3057,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:20.130Z",
  "hash": "sha256:3ab3e977375fa978e06cfce1f8547f5fb8dc38618c30bdad54000d6119597099",
  "id": "2026-11-15T03-28-20Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        33.1448,
        33.2774,
        33.6059,
        33.9235,
        34.3898,
        35.0209,
        35.5865,
        36.156,
        36.3312,
        36.4609,
        36.9858,
        37.6294
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.8808,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:20.150Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.088762,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.088762,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 34.5978,
      "score_raw": 33.1448,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 1519,
      "z": -1.348418
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:20.154Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 83,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"hf-datasets\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "hf-datasets",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:20.155Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "datasets/24h",
      "value": 1661,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:20.155Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 3888,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:20.155Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 39,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"datacrunch\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "datacrunch",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:21.767Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 1.907,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        57.8066,
        57.8066,
        57.8066,
        57.8066,
        58.4778,
        58.4778,
        58.4778,
        58.4778,
        58.4778,
        58.4778,
        58.4778,
        58.4778
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9885,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:20.156Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.733861,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.733861,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 58.2437,
      "score_raw": 57.8066,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 5601,
      "z": 0.624532
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:20.156Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 4.297499999999999,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:20.715Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.5105925925925925,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        25.3557,
        48.9133,
        48.8628,
        48.8249,
        49.6853,
        49.8426,
        54.1972,
        56.5323,
        56.3543,
        59.0583,
        59.7926,
        63.3685
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.5,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:20.157Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.024331,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.024331,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 37.2628,
      "score_raw": 25.3557,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 501,
      "z": -1.971541
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:30.602Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 127998,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        33.4924,
        33.4924,
        33.4924,
        33.4924,
        33.4924,
        33.4924,
        33.4924,
        33.4924,
        33.4924,
        33.4924,
        33.4924,
        33.4924
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-13T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.093316,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.093316,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 33.4924,
      "score_raw": 33.4924,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 87775.14285714287,
      "z": -1.320608
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"wikipedia-zh\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "wikipedia-zh",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:20.720Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 353.25396825396825,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9875,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:20.157Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.68,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.68,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 56.3067,
      "score_raw": 55.8462,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 30,
      "z": 0.467699
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:20.158Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 194,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:30.505Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.033868165134041284,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:21.501Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 52518.66529061971,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:26.622Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.01366704011281244,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.088762,
      "score": 34.5978,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 5,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.733861,
      "score": 58.2437,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.058824,
      "score": 35.3776,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.68,
      "score": 56.3067,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:697760c0a20dd5f8342454bb309604c9473051ba7c8890b6ebda59eab21dba79",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-11-15T03:28:20.130Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 49.7651,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "hf-datasets",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "datacrunch",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "wikipedia-zh",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}