{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": {
    "direction": "deescalate",
    "proposed_level": 4,
    "quorum_agreeing": null,
    "quorum_required": 2,
    "threshold": 52,
    "window_means": {
      "43200": 52.4053
    },
    "windows_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ]
  },
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.0786,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:01.064Z",
  "hash": "sha256:a760be098b316f64b0d36e0398e06fc9196dffca0dde0629ed6e8382965834ad",
  "id": "2026-11-08T03-02-01Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        46.2825,
        46.6981,
        46.7826,
        47.0021,
        47.5853,
        47.7653,
        48.1243,
        48.2384,
        48.3096,
        48.5253,
        48.8557,
        49.5251
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9345,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:01.084Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.38308,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.38308,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 47.5952,
      "score_raw": 46.2825,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 1847,
      "z": -0.297401
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:01.088Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 81,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"hf-datasets\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "hf-datasets",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:01.089Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "datasets/24h",
      "value": 1778,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:01.089Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 3455,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:01.089Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 39,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"datacrunch\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "datacrunch",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:01.941Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 1.8135,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        54.9328,
        54.9328,
        54.9328,
        54.9328,
        55.0471,
        55.0471,
        55.0471,
        55.0471,
        55.0471,
        55.0471,
        55.0471,
        55.0471
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9979,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:01.090Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.653439,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.653439,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 55.0087,
      "score_raw": 54.9328,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 4851,
      "z": 0.394622
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:01.090Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 5.222499999999999,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:01.690Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.4768525185185185,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        32.4918,
        33.8386,
        33.512,
        33.0548,
        32.9121,
        32.3615,
        31.3383,
        30.4479,
        37.96,
        34.0176,
        37.6887,
        37.7325
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.8021,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:01.090Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.080659,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.080659,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 33.258,
      "score_raw": 32.4918,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 717,
      "z": -1.400653
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:19.123Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 122382,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        45.5662,
        45.5662,
        45.5662,
        45.5662,
        45.5662,
        45.5662,
        45.5662,
        45.5662,
        45.5662,
        45.5662,
        45.5662,
        45.5662
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-06T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.361404,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.361404,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 45.5662,
      "score_raw": 45.5662,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 122640.14285714287,
      "z": -0.354708
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"wikipedia-zh\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "wikipedia-zh",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:01.639Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 299.6507936507937,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:01.091Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.7,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.7,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 56.555,
      "score_raw": 56.555,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 31,
      "z": 0.524401
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:01.092Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 193,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:10.706Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.015947094658288044,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:03.527Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 6608.560937074952,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:06.498Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.022593609629326532,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 3,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ELEVATED",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.38308,
      "score": 47.5952,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 5,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.653439,
      "score": 55.0087,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.221031,
      "score": 39.4121,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.7,
      "score": 56.555,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:a70cfb1fde6b5cb1f9b0be43d4ce9c2fa5806926dba29a1d412ca39b2ab02209",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-11-08T03:02:01.064Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "dwell",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 51.7164,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "hf-datasets",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "datacrunch",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "wikipedia-zh",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}
