{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": true,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.0823,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-11-05T01:57:59.966Z",
  "hash": "sha256:dbc6e6557d2dd2b379d3ad44e00aaa0a168f72f5bd965fd53dd5d9f750fad83c",
  "id": "2026-11-05T01-57-59Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        58.0814,
        58.1518,
        58.2225,
        58.324,
        58.9403,
        59.211,
        59.3624,
        59.5346,
        60.1237,
        60.6635,
        60.6635,
        60.6635
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9574,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-05T01:57:59.987Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.741025,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.741025,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 59.1865,
      "score_raw": 58.0814,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 2147,
      "z": 0.646509
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-05T01:57:59.991Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 82,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"hf-datasets\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "hf-datasets",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-05T01:57:59.992Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "datasets/24h",
      "value": 2178,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-05T01:57:59.992Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4583,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-05T01:57:59.992Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 37,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"datacrunch\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "datacrunch",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-05T01:58:01.006Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 1.7959999999999998,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        53.6294,
        53.6294,
        53.6294,
        53.753,
        53.5116,
        53.6868,
        53.5116,
        53.503,
        53.4976,
        53.4933,
        53.4564,
        53.4369
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9941,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-05T01:57:59.993Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.614228,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.614228,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 53.563,
      "score_raw": 53.6294,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 4262,
      "z": 0.290356
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-05T01:57:59.993Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 2.105,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-05T01:58:00.497Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.44118518518518524,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        60.3573,
        59.5361,
        58.9723,
        58.1996,
        56.7363,
        60.2107,
        64.8912,
        63.633,
        62.7422,
        62.028,
        64.3064,
        74.8988
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.7575,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-05T01:57:59.993Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.79633,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.79633,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 60.1231,
      "score_raw": 60.3573,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 2446,
      "z": 0.828584
    },
    {
      "error": "timeout after 15000ms: https://www.intelligencearena.ai/api/arena/latest",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": null,
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "unit": null,
      "value": null,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.800283,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.800283,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 60.5329,
      "score_raw": 60.5329,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 154429.7142857143,
      "z": 0.842633
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"wikipedia-zh\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "wikipedia-zh",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-05T01:58:00.391Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 385.8253968253968,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9723,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-05T01:57:59.994Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.655,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.655,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 56.1117,
      "score_raw": 54.9857,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 29,
      "z": 0.398855
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-05T01:57:59.994Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 194,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-05T01:58:09.004Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.02852979983346834,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-05T01:58:01.915Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 23626.871079983273,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-05T01:58:05.675Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.020410554488268364,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 3,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ELEVATED",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.741025,
      "score": 59.1865,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 5,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.614228,
      "score": 53.563,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.798307,
      "score": 60.328,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.655,
      "score": 56.1117,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:e9f38702dbc461a57e6a71f2c07b77db5e6c9a221cca460268dbb172c6af3c4f",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-11-05T01:57:59.966Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 58.2065,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "hf-datasets",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "datacrunch",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "wikipedia-zh",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}