{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.4623,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:39.903Z",
  "hash": "sha256:1b4ecc00f3b7bdfb72af0b80deef8be2bfae10ff77850cd7c657590cc786f831",
  "id": "2026-11-04T19-30-39Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        60.1237,
        60.6635,
        60.6635,
        60.6635,
        60.6635,
        60.6635,
        60.6635,
        60.6635,
        60.6635,
        60.6635,
        60.881,
        61.4641
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9782,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:39.923Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.791,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.791,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 60.6882,
      "score_raw": 60.1237,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 2240,
      "z": 0.809896
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:39.927Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 82,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"hf-datasets\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "hf-datasets",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:39.928Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "datasets/24h",
      "value": 2141,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:39.928Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4509,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:39.928Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 37,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"datacrunch\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "datacrunch",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:40.809Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 1.7959999999999998,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        53.4976,
        53.4933,
        53.4564,
        53.4369,
        53.4149,
        53.2348,
        53.3857,
        53.3272,
        53.281,
        53.1911,
        53.0113,
        53.0113
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9909,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:39.928Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.610187,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.610187,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 53.3165,
      "score_raw": 53.4976,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 4140,
      "z": 0.279806
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:39.929Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 1.53,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:40.135Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.44222222222222224,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        62.7422,
        62.028,
        64.3064,
        74.8988,
        74.3771,
        79.1165,
        78.6227,
        77.5932,
        76.1317,
        75.3227,
        74.3908,
        74.5651
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.784,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:39.929Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.845987,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.845987,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 68.9184,
      "score_raw": 62.7422,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 2682,
      "z": 1.019373
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:47.894Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 120314,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329,
        60.5329
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.800283,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.800283,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 60.5329,
      "score_raw": 60.5329,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 154429.7142857143,
      "z": 0.842633
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"wikipedia-zh\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "wikipedia-zh",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:40.150Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 385.8253968253968,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:39.930Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.7,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.7,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 56.555,
      "score_raw": 56.555,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 31,
      "z": 0.524401
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:39.930Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 205,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:49.051Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.02344579785907929,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:41.401Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 22983.54074635476,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:44.792Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.01997938578738975,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 3,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ELEVATED",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.791,
      "score": 60.6882,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 5,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.610187,
      "score": 53.3165,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.823135,
      "score": 64.7257,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.7,
      "score": 56.555,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:5797dd8559f9c4ecf9684ad33f049fb38364ac0992155d82735f659260c3e7cf",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-11-04T19:30:39.903Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 60.5927,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "hf-datasets",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "datacrunch",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "wikipedia-zh",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}