{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": 0.0514,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:25.812Z",
  "hash": "sha256:e7f03bfac45753b4114192240bfc1232d4b4ba05af7047a740894787efd8d5f6",
  "id": "2026-11-02T23-17-25Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        29.1749,
        29.361,
        29.949,
        30.4273,
        30.7633,
        31.0516,
        31.587,
        32.5493,
        33.713,
        34.8502,
        36.2001,
        37.2458
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.7833,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:25.836Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.047856,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.047856,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 30.5428,
      "score_raw": 29.1749,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 1415,
      "z": -1.666007
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:25.841Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 81,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"hf-datasets\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "hf-datasets",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:25.843Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "datasets/24h",
      "value": 1786,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:25.843Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 3975,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:25.843Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 34,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"datacrunch\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "datacrunch",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:26.594Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 1.778,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        50.3171,
        50.3171,
        50.225,
        49.8706,
        49.793,
        49.7607,
        49.7283,
        49.7024,
        49.6252,
        49.5683,
        49.4951,
        49.4463
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9827,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:25.844Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.510119,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.510119,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 49.8377,
      "score_raw": 50.3171,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3662,
      "z": 0.025367
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:25.844Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 2.9524999999999997,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:26.221Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.4222222222222223,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        48.7997,
        47.8408,
        50.6711,
        49.1144,
        47.0813,
        44.4783,
        45.8342,
        44.6757,
        41.6787,
        45.3922,
        44.404,
        43.3338
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.8225,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:25.845Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.46175,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.46175,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 47.412,
      "score_raw": 48.7997,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 1533,
      "z": -0.096026
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:42.977Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 118877,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        69.1365,
        69.1365,
        69.1365,
        69.1365,
        69.1365,
        69.1365,
        69.1365,
        69.1365,
        69.1365,
        69.1365,
        69.1365,
        69.1365
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-01T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.937105,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.937105,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 69.1365,
      "score_raw": 69.1365,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 177058.57142857142,
      "z": 1.530917
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"wikipedia-zh\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "wikipedia-zh",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:26.315Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 432.4761904761905,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:25.846Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.68,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.68,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 55.8462,
      "score_raw": 55.8462,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 30,
      "z": 0.467699
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:25.846Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 193,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:34.645Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.016090732378735838,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:27.614Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 20267.145756084334,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:31.612Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.02954948264950714,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.047856,
      "score": 30.5428,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 5,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.510119,
      "score": 49.8377,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.699427,
      "score": 58.2742,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.68,
      "score": 55.8462,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:a80fe76be001319170800f2ca6970194859a8091d02cd7c35a6b43713d7af58f",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-11-02T23:17:25.812Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 51.5199,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "hf-datasets",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "datacrunch",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "wikipedia-zh",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}