{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.0155,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:24.573Z",
  "hash": "sha256:6bf276834eade682902ddc8dac82be6dc4d21c3273be974ae1bc5c378839e790",
  "id": "2026-10-31T13-40-24Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        44.5859,
        44.8222,
        44.9156,
        45.2027,
        45.2929,
        45.3829,
        45.4951,
        45.606,
        45.7837,
        46.1131,
        46.4689,
        46.6418
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9559,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:24.600Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.33246,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.33246,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 45.4336,
      "score_raw": 44.5859,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 1789,
      "z": -0.43313
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:24.605Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 87,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"hf-datasets\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "hf-datasets",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:24.607Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "datasets/24h",
      "value": 1312,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:24.607Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4148,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:24.607Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 34,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"datacrunch\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "datacrunch",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:25.408Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 1.7605,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        51.2841,
        51.2841,
        51.2841,
        51.2841,
        51.2841,
        51.2841,
        51.2841,
        51.2841,
        51.2841,
        51.2841,
        51.2841,
        51.2841
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:24.608Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.540912,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.540912,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 51.2841,
      "score_raw": 51.2841,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3769,
      "z": 0.102732
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:24.609Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 6.6325,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:24.959Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.4308148148148149,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        53.8913,
        53.5386,
        53.7502,
        53.6059,
        53.921,
        53.7117,
        55.0588,
        54.9426,
        54.5616,
        54.2917,
        53.8177,
        53.5386
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9724,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:24.610Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.622216,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.622216,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 54.0379,
      "score_raw": 53.8913,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 1924,
      "z": 0.311306
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:32.143Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 116781,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        72.7845,
        72.7845,
        72.7845,
        72.7845,
        72.7845,
        72.7845,
        75.8761,
        75.8761,
        72.7845,
        72.7845,
        72.7845,
        72.7845
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9593,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-30T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.96583,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.96583,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 73.2738,
      "score_raw": 72.7845,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 181705.99999999997,
      "z": 1.822758
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"wikipedia-zh\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "wikipedia-zh",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:25.036Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 432.53968253968253,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        57.8501,
        57.8501,
        57.8501,
        57.8501,
        57.8501,
        57.8501,
        57.8501,
        57.8501,
        57.8501,
        57.8501,
        57.8501,
        57.8501
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:24.611Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.735,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.735,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 57.8501,
      "score_raw": 57.8501,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 32,
      "z": 0.628006
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:24.611Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 188,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:33.322Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.01761820084050836,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:25.935Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 6654.1630285774045,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:29.656Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.04157973783440864,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 3,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ELEVATED",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.33246,
      "score": 45.4336,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 5,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.540912,
      "score": 51.2841,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.794023,
      "score": 63.6559,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.735,
      "score": 57.8501,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:b18f5346d65a4b0056a0d9ef8412448e4f2e42f303d25b1076e5ebb44abfc6d0",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-31T13:40:24.573Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 57.2859,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "hf-datasets",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "datacrunch",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "wikipedia-zh",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}
