{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": {
    "direction": "deescalate",
    "proposed_level": 4,
    "quorum_agreeing": null,
    "quorum_required": 2,
    "threshold": 52,
    "window_means": {},
    "windows_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ]
  },
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.0884,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:09.220Z",
  "hash": "sha256:0a32eb05dd6bc6fc93404f8ad84cf88975ed6a2cc6aed4ae9aa89e988c6aec36",
  "id": "2026-10-29T23-31-09Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        33.2022,
        33.4977,
        34.214,
        35.0209,
        35.8705,
        36.2876,
        36.8912,
        37.7269,
        38.497,
        39.442,
        40.6653,
        41.7802
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.7947,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:09.245Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.089503,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.089503,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 35.1157,
      "score_raw": 33.2022,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 1521,
      "z": -1.343822
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:09.250Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 87,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"hf-datasets\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "hf-datasets",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:09.251Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "datasets/24h",
      "value": 1845,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:09.252Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4206,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:09.252Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 34,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"datacrunch\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "datacrunch",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:09.930Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 1.743,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        50.9954,
        50.9954,
        50.9954,
        50.8408,
        49.8512,
        49.7412,
        49.6577,
        49.5927,
        49.5195,
        49.4544,
        49.3668,
        48.9444
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9598,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:09.252Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.531736,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.531736,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 50.0916,
      "score_raw": 50.9954,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3725,
      "z": 0.079634
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:09.253Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 1.6425,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:09.769Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.44222222222222224,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        39.4527,
        38.5091,
        38.3552,
        37.9278,
        39.9156,
        38.7493,
        37.8088,
        37.5896,
        36.4565,
        34.5729,
        38.6308,
        39.5599
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.8662,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:09.253Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.199395,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.199395,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 38.3857,
      "score_raw": 39.4527,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 1055,
      "z": -0.843784
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:30.853Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 115986,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        71.0945,
        71.0945,
        71.0945,
        71.0945,
        71.0945,
        71.0945,
        71.0945,
        71.0945,
        71.0945,
        71.0945,
        71.0945,
        71.0945
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.954252,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.954252,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 71.0945,
      "score_raw": 71.0945,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 179438.42857142855,
      "z": 1.687559
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"wikipedia-zh\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "wikipedia-zh",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:09.719Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 405.85714285714283,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        61.4421,
        61.4421,
        61.4421,
        61.4421,
        61.4421,
        61.4421,
        61.4421,
        61.4421,
        61.4421,
        61.4421,
        61.4421,
        61.4421
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:09.255Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.82,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.82,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 61.4421,
      "score_raw": 61.4421,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 35,
      "z": 0.915365
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:09.255Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 203,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:17.907Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.013194144134709405,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:10.394Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 7524.473920315924,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:14.479Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.024280139034505193,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 3,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ELEVATED",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.089503,
      "score": 35.1157,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 5,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.531736,
      "score": 50.0916,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.576823,
      "score": 54.7401,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.82,
      "score": 61.4421,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:22e868e32d7b887bb4f3f217c4c94a549f0e4bacbe1d090602418ec14ef3f78f",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-29T23:31:09.220Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "deadband",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 53.6758,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "hf-datasets",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "datacrunch",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "wikipedia-zh",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}
