{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": true,
  "delta_from_previous": 0.0384,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:14.426Z",
  "hash": "sha256:193f5f5b3bc3e3204cd11e64e40de1e41f250bb3272ebfdb6fe807538cbe829a",
  "id": "2026-10-29T08-38-14Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        45.4503,
        45.9961,
        46.4999,
        46.9619,
        47.7354,
        null,
        null,
        48.2384,
        48.4235,
        48.673,
        48.8194,
        48.9645
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 10,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9282,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:14.451Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.357937,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.357937,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 47.2475,
      "score_raw": 45.4503,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 1821,
      "z": -0.363979
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:14.456Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 86,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"hf-datasets\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "hf-datasets",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:14.457Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "datasets/24h",
      "value": 1822,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:14.458Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 3928,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:14.458Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 38,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"datacrunch\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "datacrunch",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:15.179Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 1.743,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:14.458Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.444402,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.444402,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 48.2523,
      "score_raw": 48.2523,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3286,
      "z": -0.139818
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:14.459Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 1.9449999999999998,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:14.785Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.4633333333333333,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        50.4281,
        49.8426,
        49.3221,
        49.1218,
        49.0142,
        48.8375,
        48.6788,
        48.2323,
        48.0489,
        47.5781,
        46.5655,
        45.331
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.8989,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:14.459Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.51366,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.51366,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 48.8584,
      "score_raw": 50.4281,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 1654,
      "z": 0.034247
    },
    {
      "error": "timeout after 15000ms: https://www.intelligencearena.ai/api/arena/latest",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": null,
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "unit": null,
      "value": null,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        71.0945,
        71.0945,
        71.0945,
        69.8449,
        71.0945,
        71.0945,
        71.0945,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9824,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.954252,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.954252,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 70.4973,
      "score_raw": 71.0945,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 179438.42857142855,
      "z": 1.687559
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"wikipedia-zh\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "wikipedia-zh",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:14.875Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 405.85714285714283,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        61.4421,
        61.4421,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9575,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:14.461Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.82,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.82,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 59.3642,
      "score_raw": 61.4421,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 35,
      "z": 0.915365
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:14.461Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 183,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:23.237Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.018504169299719646,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:15.556Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 14825.387364063688,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:20.046Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.02806057236158238,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 3,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ELEVATED",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.357937,
      "score": 47.2475,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 5,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.444402,
      "score": 48.2523,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.733956,
      "score": 59.6778,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.82,
      "score": 59.3642,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:e19f96c4891f550deb69ecf16496aa349f457b53463fd01e490b46d0fcf344dc",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-29T08:38:14.426Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 55.4482,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "hf-datasets",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "datacrunch",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "wikipedia-zh",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}
