{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": true,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.1582,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:04.430Z",
  "hash": "sha256:2086fdb8f941b1b6a59b15436eb5a2ea13da0282ef1e54b364717134638cffbe",
  "id": "2026-10-29T06-02-04Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        46.9619,
        47.7354,
        null,
        null,
        48.2384,
        48.4235,
        48.673,
        48.8194,
        48.9645,
        49.0809,
        49.6115,
        50.0928
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 10,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9375,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:04.455Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.403985,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.403985,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 48.4677,
      "score_raw": 46.9619,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 1869,
      "z": -0.243046
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:04.460Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 84,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"hf-datasets\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "hf-datasets",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:04.462Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "datasets/24h",
      "value": 1849,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:04.462Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4037,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:04.462Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 38,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"datacrunch\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "datacrunch",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:05.361Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 1.726,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        50.1105,
        50.1105,
        50.1105
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9629,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:04.463Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.444402,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.444402,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 48.6411,
      "score_raw": 48.2523,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3286,
      "z": -0.139818
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:04.463Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 1.9449999999999998,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:04.932Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.46888888888888886,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        49.1218,
        49.0142,
        48.8375,
        48.6788,
        48.2323,
        48.0489,
        47.5781,
        46.5655,
        45.331,
        44.5018,
        44.0024,
        41.5047
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.8449,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:04.464Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.471994,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.471994,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 47.8768,
      "score_raw": 49.1218,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 1562,
      "z": -0.070258
    },
    {
      "error": "timeout after 15000ms: https://www.intelligencearena.ai/api/arena/latest",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": null,
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "unit": null,
      "value": null,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        69.8449,
        71.0945,
        71.0945,
        71.0945,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9824,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-27T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.943811,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.943811,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 70.1767,
      "score_raw": 69.8449,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 177832.2857142857,
      "z": 1.587595
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"wikipedia-zh\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "wikipedia-zh",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:04.835Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 379.6984126984127,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        61.4421,
        61.4421,
        61.4421
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9575,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:04.465Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.76,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.76,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 59.3604,
      "score_raw": 58.8288,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 33,
      "z": 0.706303
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:04.465Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 182,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:13.062Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.020083924875033694,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:05.907Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 14871.004026752644,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:09.757Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.019888077206843414,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 3,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ELEVATED",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.403985,
      "score": 48.4677,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 5,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.444402,
      "score": 48.6411,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.707902,
      "score": 59.0267,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.76,
      "score": 59.3604,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:0cdda5aaa062f76c2682aada8d2b97f9e3bc795b23916b771c6fef67ea1dfa42",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-29T06:02:04.430Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 55.5199,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "hf-datasets",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "datacrunch",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "wikipedia-zh",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}