{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [
    "capability"
  ],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": true,
  "delta_from_previous": 1.0363,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:13.735Z",
  "hash": "sha256:309f048fc8c764d267d510b36b67b8c2bc9174f80333bce24af1257517f793dd",
  "id": "2026-10-29T04-09-13Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": "HTTP 429 Unknown Error from https://export.arxiv.org/api/query?search_query=(cat:cs.AI+OR+cat:cs.LG+OR+cat:cs.CL)+AND+submittedDate:[202610220409+TO+202610290409]&start=0&max_results=1 — Rate exceeded.",
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": null,
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "unit": null,
      "value": null,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:13.760Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 84,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"hf-datasets\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "hf-datasets",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:13.761Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "datasets/24h",
      "value": 1805,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:13.762Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4024,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:13.762Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 38,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"datacrunch\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "datacrunch",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:14.980Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 1.726,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        48.2523,
        50.1105,
        50.1105,
        50.1105,
        49.8383,
        48.9026,
        48.8328
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9629,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:13.762Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.444402,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.444402,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 48.8869,
      "score_raw": 48.2523,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3286,
      "z": -0.139818
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:13.762Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 1.9449999999999998,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:14.245Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.44296296296296295,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        48.6788,
        48.2323,
        48.0489,
        47.5781,
        46.5655,
        45.331,
        44.5018,
        44.0024,
        41.5047,
        40.1826,
        39.7979,
        48.7286
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.8167,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:13.763Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.457911,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.457911,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 46.6939,
      "score_raw": 48.6788,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 1526,
      "z": -0.105698
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:20.842Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 115329,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        71.0945,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449,
        69.8449
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9824,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.954252,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.954252,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 69.9595,
      "score_raw": 71.0945,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 179438.42857142855,
      "z": 1.687559
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"wikipedia-zh\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "wikipedia-zh",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:14.230Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 405.85714285714283,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        58.8288,
        61.4421,
        61.4421,
        61.4421,
        61.4421,
        61.4421,
        61.4421
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9575,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:13.763Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.76,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.76,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 59.966,
      "score_raw": 58.8288,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 33,
      "z": 0.706303
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:13.764Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 182,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:23.002Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.019288880516217542,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:17.619Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 12992.528008259846,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:19.076Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.02483055717845848,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 3,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ELEVATED",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": true,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 5,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.444402,
      "score": 48.8869,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.706082,
      "score": 58.3267,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.76,
      "score": 59.966,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:01766b216135423d38cfaa66de2eb6c9a69a032fb086d3993e5830601be48db1",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-29T04:09:13.735Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "frozen_dark_pillar",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 56.9984,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "hf-datasets",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "datacrunch",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "wikipedia-zh",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}