{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.0765,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:46.917Z",
  "hash": "sha256:b0c90453a554ba3f39a50f8005e2a4f1063e3fb0aa72d567291e0c8a34e30fca",
  "id": "2026-10-24T10-14-46Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        54.3782,
        54.5855,
        54.6811,
        54.705,
        55.0389,
        55.8125,
        56.4908,
        56.932,
        57.1509,
        57.3357,
        null,
        57.7546
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 11,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9415,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:46.942Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.636927,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.636927,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 55.6666,
      "score_raw": 54.3782,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 2052,
      "z": 0.350257
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:46.947Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 82,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"hf-datasets\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "hf-datasets",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:46.949Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "datasets/24h",
      "value": 1560,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:46.949Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 3767,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:46.949Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 36,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"datacrunch\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "datacrunch",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:47.806Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 1.6774999999999998,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        47.0004,
        47.0004,
        47.0004,
        47.0004,
        47.0004,
        47.0004,
        47.0004,
        47.0004,
        47.0004,
        47.0004,
        47.0004,
        47.0004
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:46.949Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.405177,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.405177,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 47.0004,
      "score_raw": 47.0004,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3131,
      "z": -0.239969
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:46.950Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 1.0750000000000002,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:47.231Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.4955555555555555,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        34.1345,
        33.9547,
        33.5872,
        32.9121,
        30.8465,
        33.4057,
        33.1754,
        32.8297,
        32.6412,
        32.5562,
        32.3305,
        31.1185
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9037,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:46.951Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.102178,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.102178,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 33.0046,
      "score_raw": 34.1345,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 812,
      "z": -1.269239
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:49.375Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 112298,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        58.8942,
        58.8942,
        58.8942,
        51.1079,
        51.1079,
        58.8942,
        58.8942,
        58.8942,
        58.8942,
        58.8942,
        58.8942,
        51.1079
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.8678,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.761623,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.761623,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 57.0928,
      "score_raw": 58.8942,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 146997.71428571432,
      "z": 0.711533
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"wikipedia-zh\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "wikipedia-zh",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:47.236Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 319.8095238095238,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:46.952Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.615,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.615,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 53.6547,
      "score_raw": 53.6547,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 27,
      "z": 0.292375
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:46.952Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 174,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:55.560Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.024932566485548528,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:48.054Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 19316.365394855697,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:51.647Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.022263377049058484,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.636927,
      "score": 55.6666,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 5,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.405177,
      "score": 47.0004,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.431901,
      "score": 45.0487,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.615,
      "score": 53.6547,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:999217085f5f9d38f0aa314077b56ebd8ebac9a90a5fdd3999a5df1699d55ac2",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-24T10:14:46.917Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 51.9398,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "hf-datasets",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "datacrunch",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "wikipedia-zh",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}
