{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": 0.5964,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:41.508Z",
  "hash": "sha256:4d0309b49511d5609afa1502a4bc82fd067544c88c664d737355fc400c67b917",
  "id": "2026-10-23T04-17-41Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        64.6826,
        64.7986,
        null,
        null,
        58.1317,
        58.2023,
        58.3443,
        null,
        59.1656,
        null,
        59.4626,
        59.7054
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 8,
      "nowcast_w": 0.8971,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:41.526Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.879925,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.879925,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 61.115,
      "score_raw": 64.6826,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 2524,
      "z": 1.174612
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:41.529Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 81,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"hf-datasets\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "hf-datasets",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:41.530Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "datasets/24h",
      "value": 1819,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:41.530Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4052,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:41.530Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 41,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"datacrunch\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "datacrunch",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:42.909Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 1.6444999999999999,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        46.4475,
        46.4475,
        46.4475,
        46.4475,
        46.4475,
        47.727,
        47.727,
        47.727,
        47.6455,
        47.5067,
        47.1088,
        47.0953
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9732,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:41.531Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.388127,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.388127,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 47.0294,
      "score_raw": 46.4475,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3069,
      "z": -0.284204
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:41.531Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 5.3325,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:42.021Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.5237037037037037,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        49.2998,
        49.0269,
        47.8199,
        46.9428,
        46.7023,
        45.2389,
        47.7875,
        44.404,
        41.7607,
        40.2631,
        37.1733,
        37.9493
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.754,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:41.531Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.477665,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.477665,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 47.3721,
      "score_raw": 49.2998,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 1586,
      "z": -0.056015
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:48.726Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 111219,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        51.1079,
        45.0767,
        45.0767,
        45.0767,
        45.0767,
        45.0767,
        45.0767,
        45.0767,
        45.0767,
        45.0767,
        45.0767,
        45.0767
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.882,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-22T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.535312,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.535312,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 45.9911,
      "score_raw": 51.1079,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 134361.2857142857,
      "z": 0.08863
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"wikipedia-zh\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "wikipedia-zh",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:41.905Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 316.3492063492063,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:41.532Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.6,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.6,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 53.1668,
      "score_raw": 53.1668,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 26,
      "z": 0.253347
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:41.532Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 182,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:50.463Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.014222075715568739,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:43.521Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 20114.71984238837,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:46.839Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.02796432229592516,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.879925,
      "score": 61.115,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 5,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.388127,
      "score": 47.0294,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.506489,
      "score": 46.6816,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.6,
      "score": 53.1668,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:d852724de4cb2bda97f1baed69c44ddf31dacbf4a934b6b334fcb25a6a999e07",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-23T04:17:41.508Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 54.7332,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "hf-datasets",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "datacrunch",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "wikipedia-zh",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}