{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.1049,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-21T14:01:52.092Z",
  "hash": "sha256:1acb8bafe926adeb0b451e79b75936361923d3e49c0a1cd425a6ab9c0ef544a3",
  "id": "2026-10-21T14-01-52Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        64.4966,
        64.6125,
        64.7493,
        null,
        64.9977,
        65.0987,
        65.2094,
        65.3298,
        65.7582,
        66.0551,
        null,
        66.8342
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 10,
      "nowcast_w": 0.965,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T14:01:52.112Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.87692,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.87692,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 65.2364,
      "score_raw": 64.4966,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 2508,
      "z": 1.159727
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T14:01:52.112Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 82,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T14:01:52.113Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4421,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T14:01:52.113Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 56,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        46.6693,
        46.6693,
        46.6092,
        46.6092,
        46.539,
        46.519,
        46.4967,
        46.2251,
        46.2251,
        46.2251,
        46.2251,
        46.2251
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9905,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T14:01:52.113Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.394945,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.394945,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 46.4422,
      "score_raw": 46.6693,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3090,
      "z": -0.266453
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T14:01:52.114Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 0.9575,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T14:01:52.668Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.5424074074074073,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        34.348,
        34.1677,
        33.9691,
        34.2336,
        34.0344,
        34.0176,
        34.0176,
        34.2336,
        34.2991,
        34.348,
        34.2664,
        34.1511
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.989,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T14:01:52.114Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.105256,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.105256,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 34.1728,
      "score_raw": 34.348,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 825,
      "z": -1.252159
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T14:01:54.381Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 109587,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        39.6917,
        39.6917,
        39.6917,
        39.6917,
        39.6917,
        39.6917,
        39.6917,
        39.6917,
        39.6917,
        39.6917,
        39.6917,
        39.6917
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-20T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.204782,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.204782,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 39.6917,
      "score_raw": 39.6917,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 106186.14285714286,
      "z": -0.824661
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T14:01:52.115Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.6,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.6,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 53.1668,
      "score_raw": 53.1668,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 26,
      "z": 0.253347
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T14:01:52.115Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 183,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T14:02:02.360Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.012847974542287156,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T14:01:55.065Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 13175.04663252795,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T14:01:57.764Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.014099537733300107,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.87692,
      "score": 65.2364,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.394945,
      "score": 46.4422,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.155019,
      "score": 36.9322,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.6,
      "score": 53.1668,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:96360542069276825898b7ed592059c7fb2966f703cff35252d9cb48763cc641",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-21T14:01:52.092Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 54.882,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}
