{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [
    "capability"
  ],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": true,
  "delta_from_previous": -6.337,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-21T02:31:13.157Z",
  "hash": "sha256:c3d384a7e833ddc4f0c6c61f39a5b3e8ed8d313a2f4d38c927eb1aa61e5c9f50",
  "id": "2026-10-21T02-31-13Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": "HTTP 503 Service Unavailable from https://export.arxiv.org/api/query?search_query=(cat:cs.AI+OR+cat:cs.LG+OR+cat:cs.CL)+AND+submittedDate:[202610140231+TO+202610210231]&start=0&max_results=1 — <!DOCTYPE html> <html> <head> <meta charset=\"UTF-8\"> <title>503</title> </head> <body> 503 </body> </html>",
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": null,
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "unit": null,
      "value": null,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T02:31:13.178Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 82,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T02:31:13.178Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4063,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T02:31:13.178Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 57,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        46.2251,
        46.2251,
        46.2251,
        46.2251,
        46.2251,
        46.2251,
        46.2251,
        46.2251,
        46.2251,
        46.1644,
        45.9918,
        45.7595
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9899,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T02:31:13.179Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.381329,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.381329,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 46.165,
      "score_raw": 46.2251,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3051,
      "z": -0.301992
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T02:31:13.179Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 0.5349999999999999,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T02:31:13.715Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.5088888888888888,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        33.6619,
        33.6321,
        33.4057,
        33.329,
        34.2828,
        34.2828,
        34.0176,
        34.1842,
        33.5572,
        33.4515,
        32.8503,
        32.4231
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9458,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T02:31:13.179Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.095598,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.095598,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 33.6292,
      "score_raw": 33.6619,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 781,
      "z": -1.307049
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T02:31:15.889Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 109445,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.127042,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.127042,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 35.7439,
      "score_raw": 35.7439,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 92856.42857142857,
      "z": -1.140486
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        52.9066,
        52.9066,
        52.9066,
        52.9066,
        52.9066,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9951,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T02:31:13.180Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.591935,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.591935,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 53.0565,
      "score_raw": 52.9066,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 25,
      "z": 0.232525
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T02:31:13.180Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 180,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T02:31:22.938Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.011217684094946995,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T02:31:15.019Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 19590.962769276317,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T02:31:18.993Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.013741216362902632,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": true,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.381329,
      "score": 46.165,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.11132,
      "score": 34.6865,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.591935,
      "score": 53.0565,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:fb6e96ca31b1610f7ff6ffcbe13a7990f37ae85e0a6f8d3a9ac1e907c348ddb4",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-21T02:31:13.157Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "frozen_dark_pillar",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 47.1621,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}
