{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.0968,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-21T00:56:22.493Z",
  "hash": "sha256:f6afa9af5d20398fb9d79e6b194c32479503573971b7bea579855ca6440a024c",
  "id": "2026-10-21T00-56-22Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        61.0561,
        61.4641,
        61.5893,
        61.8007,
        61.9284,
        62.0957,
        62.1868,
        62.4586,
        62.6675,
        62.8412,
        63.0381,
        63.4314
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9626,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T00:56:22.509Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.811783,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.811783,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 62.1261,
      "score_raw": 61.0561,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 2276,
      "z": 0.884486
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T00:56:22.510Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 82,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T00:56:22.510Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4036,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T00:56:22.510Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 57,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        46.2251,
        46.2251,
        46.2251,
        46.2251,
        46.2251,
        46.2251,
        46.1644,
        45.9918,
        45.7595,
        45.7059,
        45.6724,
        45.6321
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9872,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T00:56:22.511Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.381329,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.381329,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 46.0328,
      "score_raw": 46.2251,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3051,
      "z": -0.301992
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T00:56:22.511Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 0.5349999999999999,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T00:56:22.730Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.4955555555555555,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        33.329,
        34.2828,
        34.2828,
        34.0176,
        34.1842,
        33.5572,
        33.4515,
        32.8503,
        32.4231,
        32.3924,
        32.2057,
        29.8695
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.8713,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T00:56:22.511Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.091155,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.091155,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 33.4682,
      "score_raw": 33.329,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 759,
      "z": -1.333676
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T00:56:24.744Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 109226,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.127042,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.127042,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 35.7439,
      "score_raw": 35.7439,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 92856.42857142857,
      "z": -1.140486
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        52.9066,
        52.9066,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9951,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T00:56:22.512Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.591935,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.591935,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 53.1224,
      "score_raw": 52.9066,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 25,
      "z": 0.232525
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T00:56:22.512Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 180,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T00:56:31.328Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.011012382947819864,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T00:56:23.451Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 19449.852560270174,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-21T00:56:27.489Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.012801466713368124,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.811783,
      "score": 62.1261,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.381329,
      "score": 46.0328,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.109098,
      "score": 34.606,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.591935,
      "score": 53.1224,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:abbaf4103d14c192690a6db68fdb7cc074adeabb530ceef6a7bf71ae12cc0904",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-21T00:56:22.493Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 52.9181,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}
