{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": {
    "direction": "escalate",
    "proposed_level": 3,
    "quorum_agreeing": null,
    "quorum_required": 2,
    "threshold": 58,
    "window_means": {},
    "windows_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ]
  },
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": 0.1371,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-20T07:41:06.313Z",
  "hash": "sha256:9d5c752b8ca184169129dd7710e39c26d59c5912c65cf0143e5009f928e6834a",
  "id": "2026-10-20T07-41-06Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        67.8729,
        68.2483,
        68.5311,
        68.6133,
        68.9075,
        68.9827,
        null,
        null,
        null,
        65.8001,
        60.8993,
        50.8237
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 9,
      "nowcast_w": 0.7368,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-20T07:41:06.334Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.923617,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.923617,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 67.9995,
      "score_raw": 67.8729,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 2745,
      "z": 1.429829
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-20T07:41:06.335Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 80,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-20T07:41:06.335Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 3970,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-20T07:41:06.336Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 57,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        44.8471,
        44.8471,
        44.8471,
        44.8471,
        44.8471,
        44.8471,
        44.8471,
        44.8471,
        44.8471,
        44.8471,
        44.8471,
        44.832
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9997,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-20T07:41:06.336Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.340086,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.340086,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 44.8458,
      "score_raw": 44.8471,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 2896,
      "z": -0.412228
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-20T07:41:06.336Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 1.69,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-20T07:41:06.865Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.49018518518518517,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        39.8765,
        39.3984,
        38.5473,
        38.1211,
        37.5024,
        37.4764,
        37.3192,
        37.2928,
        37.2928,
        37.0527,
        37.9815,
        37.3192
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9292,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-20T07:41:06.337Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.209004,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.209004,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 38.1156,
      "score_raw": 39.8765,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 1086,
      "z": -0.809882
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-20T07:41:08.571Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 108359,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        31.1152,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        35.7439,
        31.1152,
        31.1152,
        31.1152,
        31.1152,
        31.1152
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.8705,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.127042,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.127042,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 34.1019,
      "score_raw": 35.7439,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 92856.42857142857,
      "z": -1.140486
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        53.1668,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9849,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-20T07:41:06.337Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.6,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.6,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 52.4366,
      "score_raw": 53.1668,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 26,
      "z": 0.253347
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-20T07:41:06.338Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 178,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-20T07:41:16.806Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.02690307765041337,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-20T07:41:07.805Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 8611.163783533775,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-20T07:41:11.342Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.024966540686079362,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.923617,
      "score": 67.9995,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.340086,
      "score": 44.8458,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.168023,
      "score": 36.1088,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.6,
      "score": 52.4366,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:a87f7edc42d710572445705ee3f04eaa5f414f3b01df5c112456b0e29a577f73",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-20T07:41:06.313Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "deadband",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 55.6432,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}
