{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.1312,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-19T12:39:32.473Z",
  "hash": "sha256:1b1f715fb9cc0aacf2904b26bd472cdd5b20c0b9220b827de512c959e5e9436d",
  "id": "2026-10-19T12-39-32Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        60.3869,
        60.79,
        60.9176,
        61.5893,
        61.954,
        62.044,
        62.2521,
        62.3972,
        62.6675,
        62.8801,
        63.0687,
        63.1609
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9561,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T12:39:32.493Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.797,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.797,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 61.874,
      "score_raw": 60.3869,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 2246,
      "z": 0.830953
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T12:39:32.494Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 79,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T12:39:32.494Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4108,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T12:39:32.495Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 56,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        43.0405,
        42.8202,
        42.8,
        42.7086,
        42.5383,
        42.5383,
        42.5383,
        42.5383,
        42.5383,
        42.5383,
        42.5383,
        42.5383
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9883,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T12:39:32.495Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.288845,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.288845,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 42.645,
      "score_raw": 43.0405,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 2775,
      "z": -0.556762
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T12:39:32.495Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 3.545,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T12:39:32.717Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.46444444444444444,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        31.5864,
        33.6767,
        33.512,
        33.2151,
        33.1553,
        33.0548,
        33.0143,
        32.9939,
        32.9736,
        32.9121,
        33.2151,
        33.1153
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9379,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T12:39:32.496Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.070364,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.070364,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 33.0139,
      "score_raw": 31.5864,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 688,
      "z": -1.473085
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T12:40:07.428Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 107523,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.1152,
        30.7604,
        31.4369,
        31.4369,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.963,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.074269,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.074269,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 31.6695,
      "score_raw": 31.9411,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 85355.2857142857,
      "z": -1.444715
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T12:39:32.497Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.575,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.575,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 52.364,
      "score_raw": 52.364,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 24,
      "z": 0.189118
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T12:39:32.497Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 173,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T12:39:41.261Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.021745817731803466,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T12:39:33.420Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 13049.581570332663,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T12:39:37.615Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.01562371494329478,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.797,
      "score": 61.874,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.288845,
      "score": 42.645,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.072317,
      "score": 32.3417,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.575,
      "score": 52.364,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:180a591637587ed07a15005c3a4c9181e071ca64e85fca9237c755a938698d46",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-19T12:39:32.473Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 51.6765,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}