{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": 0.3902,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-19T04:57:47.188Z",
  "hash": "sha256:d7b85ab862863c864f50ed77a9a20d6b267ceb9dd17249ae943de1d163dbe5bb",
  "id": "2026-10-19T04-57-47Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        63.2434,
        63.3058,
        63.4735,
        null,
        null,
        62.0698,
        62.1347,
        53.4375,
        53.5154,
        53.9235,
        54.089,
        54.3782
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 10,
      "nowcast_w": 0.8419,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T04:57:47.209Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.855308,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.855308,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 60.7517,
      "score_raw": 63.2434,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 2402,
      "z": 1.059474
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T04:57:47.210Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 79,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T04:57:47.210Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4026,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T04:57:47.210Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 55,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        42.5383,
        42.5383,
        42.5383,
        42.5383,
        42.5383,
        42.5383,
        42.5383,
        42.5383,
        42.5383,
        44.3022,
        44.3022,
        44.3022
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9602,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T04:57:47.210Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.275274,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.275274,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 42.9022,
      "score_raw": 42.5383,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 2736,
      "z": -0.596939
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T04:57:47.211Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 3.545,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T04:57:47.773Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.4955555555555555,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        32.9939,
        37.7762,
        37.6668,
        37.5284,
        37.2664,
        37.1198,
        37.0796,
        37.0288,
        37.1333,
        37.385,
        37.4242,
        37.3587
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.8734,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T04:57:47.212Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.086838,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.086838,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 36.7075,
      "score_raw": 32.9939,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 741,
      "z": -1.360487
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T04:57:49.396Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 107214,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.074269,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.074269,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 31.9411,
      "score_raw": 31.9411,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 85355.2857142857,
      "z": -1.444715
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        52.364,
        50,
        50,
        50
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9549,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T04:57:47.212Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.575,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.575,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 51.8896,
      "score_raw": 52.364,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 24,
      "z": 0.189118
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T04:57:47.212Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 163,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T04:57:57.073Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.012628878537469154,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T04:57:48.244Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 14062.209618823534,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-19T04:57:52.461Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.018950988737968643,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.855308,
      "score": 60.7517,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.275274,
      "score": 42.9022,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.080554,
      "score": 34.3243,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.575,
      "score": 51.8896,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:690eb24fc29ce5d843b2de1ba379fc5e3f613e900711dbba17fffb487027de8e",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-19T04:57:47.188Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 51.4524,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}
