{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.0421,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-18T07:26:46.072Z",
  "hash": "sha256:cd7f22e43fbd09f9ca6ca54af9d57908108fe77f0579c12f934254c96b5b6d84",
  "id": "2026-10-18T07-26-46Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        59.277,
        59.3767,
        59.4053,
        59.5346,
        59.6359,
        59.8294,
        60.0803,
        null,
        60.5559,
        60.6455,
        60.7537,
        null
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 10,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9757,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-18T07:26:46.087Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.771005,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.771005,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 59.8679,
      "score_raw": 59.277,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 2206,
      "z": 0.742161
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-18T07:26:46.088Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 81,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-18T07:26:46.088Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4041,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-18T07:26:46.088Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 57,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        44.3022,
        44.3022,
        44.3022,
        44.3022,
        44.3022,
        44.3022,
        44.3022,
        44.3022,
        44.3022,
        44.3022,
        45.5446,
        45.5446
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9727,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-18T07:26:46.088Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.324258,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.324258,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 44.4817,
      "score_raw": 44.3022,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 2859,
      "z": -0.455825
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-18T07:26:46.089Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 3.545,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-18T07:26:46.719Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.508287037037037,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        28.5365,
        27.0236,
        26.3638,
        25.4195,
        24.3477,
        24.1009,
        24.1847,
        23.9725,
        24.1847,
        23.5707,
        22.8854,
        22.107
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.7747,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-18T07:26:46.089Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.042982,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.042982,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 26.1097,
      "score_raw": 28.5365,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 573,
      "z": -1.717083
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-18T07:26:54.637Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 106659,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411,
        31.9411
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.074269,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.074269,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 31.9411,
      "score_raw": 31.9411,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 85355.2857142857,
      "z": -1.444715
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        50,
        50,
        50,
        50,
        50,
        50,
        50,
        50,
        50,
        50,
        53.6547,
        53.6547
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9319,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-18T07:26:46.090Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.5,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.5,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 50.4159,
      "score_raw": 50,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 22,
      "z": 0
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-18T07:26:46.090Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 163,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-18T07:26:56.695Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.015604714061639869,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-18T07:26:47.460Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 4027.5340823197457,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-18T07:26:51.505Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.013849045039010403,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.771005,
      "score": 59.8679,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.324258,
      "score": 44.4817,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.058625,
      "score": 29.0254,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.5,
      "score": 50.4159,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:f0c6fedacf3250e11cedf6dd7a2ff625ec2fd22807f145c7107c93af8a85cd9a",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-18T07:26:46.072Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 50.1238,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}