{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": {
    "direction": "escalate",
    "proposed_level": 3,
    "quorum_agreeing": null,
    "quorum_required": 2,
    "threshold": 58,
    "window_means": {},
    "windows_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ]
  },
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": 0.22,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-16T05:52:47.910Z",
  "hash": "sha256:b7e687b85dc498bc5c8d11aad19cad46b9dd90e1dbdba0d2a8491663d932a6db",
  "id": "2026-10-16T05-52-47Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        69.5057,
        69.5899,
        69.7783,
        69.8829,
        70.0786,
        70.1509,
        null,
        null,
        67.4353,
        67.4921,
        63.2745,
        63.2953
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 10,
      "nowcast_w": 0.902,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-16T05:52:47.930Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.940674,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.940674,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 68.7691,
      "score_raw": 69.5057,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 2873,
      "z": 1.560457
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-16T05:52:47.931Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 82,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-16T05:52:47.931Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4617,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-16T05:52:47.931Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 52,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        45.5783,
        45.5783,
        45.5783,
        45.5783,
        45.5783,
        45.5783,
        45.5783,
        45.5783,
        45.5783,
        45.5783,
        45.5783,
        45.5783
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-16T05:52:47.932Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.361768,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.361768,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 45.5783,
      "score_raw": 45.5783,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 2959,
      "z": -0.353737
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-16T05:52:47.932Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 1.4224999999999999,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-16T05:52:48.687Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.47,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        47.4916,
        47.1044,
        47.0429,
        46.9196,
        46.5929,
        45.8787,
        45.6404,
        45.711,
        45.2081,
        44.8582,
        44.8304,
        44.8582
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.944,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-16T05:52:47.933Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.420479,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.420479,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 46.1939,
      "score_raw": 47.4916,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 1448,
      "z": -0.200668
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-16T05:52:50.348Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 104994,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        31.9411,
        31.6258,
        31.9411,
        31.6258,
        31.9411,
        31.6258,
        31.6258,
        31.6258,
        31.6258,
        31.6258,
        31.6258,
        31.6258
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9901,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.074269,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.074269,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 31.7074,
      "score_raw": 31.9411,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 85355.2857142857,
      "z": -1.444715
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9878,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-16T05:52:47.933Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.655,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.655,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 54.433,
      "score_raw": 54.9857,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 29,
      "z": 0.398855
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-16T05:52:47.934Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 170,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-16T05:52:58.342Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.013902949078208543,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-16T05:52:49.634Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 21775.99231633656,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-16T05:52:53.288Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.025539478111828978,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.940674,
      "score": 68.7691,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.361768,
      "score": 45.5783,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.247374,
      "score": 38.9506,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.655,
      "score": 54.433,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:60c372230be75b5eb8088690cd9a75e7f080595b29f2577157533624ee625faa",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-16T05:52:47.910Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "deadband",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 56.9837,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}