{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": {
    "direction": "escalate",
    "proposed_level": 3,
    "quorum_agreeing": null,
    "quorum_required": 2,
    "threshold": 58,
    "window_means": {},
    "windows_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ]
  },
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": 0.0521,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-15T10:30:04.934Z",
  "hash": "sha256:687942124ae48094f2697e43b1310d8708ef23fa6937a3b793ed885bc05ec83d",
  "id": "2026-10-15T10-30-04Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        67.9962,
        68.3957,
        68.6963,
        68.8223,
        69.1242,
        69.2571,
        69.3808,
        69.9712,
        70.4853,
        64.3592,
        64.3819,
        64.7248
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9131,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T10:30:04.950Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.925023,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.925023,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 68.2511,
      "score_raw": 67.9962,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 2752,
      "z": 1.439694
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T10:30:04.951Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 80,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T10:30:04.951Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 5109,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T10:30:04.951Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 48,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        45.7796,
        45.7126,
        45.7126,
        45.7126,
        45.7126,
        45.7126,
        45.7126,
        45.7126,
        45.7126,
        46.3364,
        46.3117,
        46.2127
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9865,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T10:30:04.951Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.367821,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.367821,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 45.8537,
      "score_raw": 45.7796,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 2989,
      "z": -0.33763
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T10:30:04.952Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 3.8475,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T10:30:05.459Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.5074074074074073,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        59.2565,
        61.2683,
        60.8017,
        60.6252,
        60.3297,
        60.1197,
        59.9314,
        60.3573,
        59.8065,
        49.9213,
        49.3665,
        44.7668
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.7307,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T10:30:04.952Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.770508,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.770508,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 59.8471,
      "score_raw": 59.2565,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 2334,
      "z": 0.740521
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T10:30:11.670Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 104152,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        31.6258,
        31.6258,
        31.6258,
        31.6258,
        31.6258,
        31.6258,
        31.6258,
        31.6258,
        30.9023,
        30.9023,
        30.9023,
        30.9023
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9771,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-14T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.07079,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.07079,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 31.4066,
      "score_raw": 31.6258,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 84610.85714285714,
      "z": -1.469933
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T10:30:04.953Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.635,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.635,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 54.3141,
      "score_raw": 54.3141,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 28,
      "z": 0.345126
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T10:30:04.953Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 172,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T10:30:13.753Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.019011212001649264,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T10:30:06.361Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 13618.851677855566,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-15T10:30:10.163Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.030104592166612158,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.925023,
      "score": 68.2511,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.367821,
      "score": 45.8537,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.420649,
      "score": 45.6268,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.635,
      "score": 54.3141,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:1a3ae6c8597edc0f3520ec1fd82957f7999274617188a9a8395c51e5acbc1300",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-15T10:30:04.934Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "deadband",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 57.9333,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}