{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.0414,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-13T09:21:13.322Z",
  "hash": "sha256:11bef2980070e3531f5bb9641cf894a911b43f5540205cde5c173f8d34d11d09",
  "id": "2026-10-13T09-21-13Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        43.5759,
        44.1538,
        44.1986,
        45.0474,
        45.1459,
        45.4727,
        45.5466,
        null,
        null,
        46.9619,
        47.0423,
        47.7354
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 10,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9129,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-13T09:21:13.335Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.303651,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.303651,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 45.0871,
      "score_raw": 43.5759,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 1761,
      "z": -0.513928
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-13T09:21:13.336Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 76,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-13T09:21:13.336Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4281,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-13T09:21:13.336Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 45,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-13T09:21:13.336Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.314277,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.314277,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 43.953,
      "score_raw": 43.953,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 2832,
      "z": -0.483763
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-13T09:21:13.336Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 1.8575,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-13T09:21:13.661Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.4555555555555556,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        67.9798,
        67.5938,
        67.5292,
        66.4205,
        66.27,
        65.6338,
        65.4816,
        63.9457,
        63.6465,
        62.7148,
        62.5853,
        61.8712
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9101,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-13T09:21:13.337Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.924837,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.924837,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 65.7743,
      "score_raw": 67.9798,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 3296,
      "z": 1.438381
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-13T09:21:18.441Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 102897,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        32.392,
        32.392,
        32.392,
        33.7098,
        32.392,
        32.392,
        32.392,
        33.7098,
        32.392,
        32.392,
        32.392,
        32.392
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9609,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-12T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.079471,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.079471,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 32.6147,
      "score_raw": 32.392,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 86468.14285714286,
      "z": -1.408639
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547,
        53.6547
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-13T09:21:13.337Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.615,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.615,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 53.6547,
      "score_raw": 53.6547,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 27,
      "z": 0.292375
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-13T09:21:13.337Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 157,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-13T09:21:22.197Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.022381348406944144,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-13T09:21:14.765Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 19427.907111745513,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-13T09:21:18.642Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.025626477892593695,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.303651,
      "score": 45.0871,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.314277,
      "score": 43.953,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.502154,
      "score": 49.1945,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.615,
      "score": 53.6547,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:ea3790277040342f35996895dce33be61f877ebc986d0b165cfa44fa8ad00bc8",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-13T09:21:13.322Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 49.677,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}
