{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": true,
  "delta_from_previous": 6.6182,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-12T12:44:48.446Z",
  "hash": "sha256:b028ecf3773662e1546c0cd99505606483698d3163bb6f2b4b4a5483ea595327",
  "id": "2026-10-12T12-44-48Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        61.9925,
        null,
        62.4105,
        62.4238,
        62.7059,
        62.7831,
        63.0891,
        63.1096,
        63.3266,
        63.3893,
        63.6331,
        63.8272
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 11,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9713,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-12T12:44:48.467Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.831321,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.831321,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 62.9199,
      "score_raw": 61.9925,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 2313,
      "z": 0.959399
    },
    {
      "error": "github-releases: 4/13 feeds failed, refusing to sum a partial basket — openai/openai-agents-python: HTTP 502 Bad Gateway or Proxy Error from https://github.com/openai/openai-agents-python/releases.atom — <!DOCTYPE html> <html lang=\"en\"> <head> <meta http-equiv=\"Content-type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\"> <meta http-equiv=\"Content-Security-Policy\" content=\"default-src 'none'; base-uri 'self'; connect-src 'self'; form-action 'self'; img-src 'self' data:; script-src 'self'; style-src 'unsafe-inli… | sgl-project/sglang: HTTP 502 Bad Gateway or Proxy Error from https://github.com/sgl-project/sglang/releases.atom — <!DOCTYPE html> <html lang=\"en\"> <head> <meta http-equiv=\"Content-type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\"> <meta http-equiv=\"Content-Security-Policy\" content=\"default-src 'none'; base-uri 'self'; connect-src 'self'; form-action 'self'; img-src 'self' data:; script-src 'self'; style-src 'unsafe-inli… | langchain-ai/langchain: HTTP 502 Bad Gateway or Proxy Error from https://github.com/langchain-ai/langchain/releases.atom — <!DOCTYPE html> <html lang=\"en\"> <head> <meta http-equiv=\"Content-type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\"> <meta http-equiv=\"Content-Security-Policy\" content=\"default-src 'none'; base-uri 'self'; connect-src 'self'; form-action 'self'; img-src 'self' data:; script-src 'self'; style-src 'unsafe-inli… | run-llama/llama_index: HTTP 502 Bad Gateway or Proxy Error from https://github.com/run-llama/llama_index/releases.atom — <!DOCTYPE html> <html lang=\"en\"> <head> <meta http-equiv=\"Content-type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\"> <meta http-equiv=\"Content-Security-Policy\" content=\"default-src 'none'; base-uri 'self'; connect-src 'self'; form-action 'self'; img-src 'self' data:; script-src 'self'; style-src 'unsafe-inli…",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": null,
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "unit": null,
      "value": null,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-12T12:44:48.468Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4380,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-12T12:44:48.469Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 44,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953,
        43.953
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-12T12:44:48.469Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.314277,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.314277,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 43.953,
      "score_raw": 43.953,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 2832,
      "z": -0.483763
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-12T12:44:48.469Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 0.99,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-12T12:44:49.033Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.5111111111111111,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        25.5454,
        23.6623,
        23.0392,
        22.6737,
        29.9058,
        29.778,
        29.4099,
        29.3804,
        29.6668,
        29.704,
        29.5159,
        29.3211
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.7582,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-12T12:44:48.470Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.025211,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.025211,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 25.7688,
      "score_raw": 25.5454,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 507,
      "z": -1.956366
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"intelligence-arena\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "intelligence-arena",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-12T12:44:53.243Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mentions",
      "value": 100329,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        34.0227,
        33.7098,
        33.7098,
        33.7098,
        33.7098,
        33.7098,
        33.7098,
        33.7098,
        33.7098,
        33.7098,
        34.0227,
        33.7098
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9908,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-10T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.100592,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.100592,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 33.7622,
      "score_raw": 34.0227,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 88683.28571428574,
      "z": -1.278186
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        52.9066,
        52.9066,
        52.9066,
        52.9066,
        52.9066,
        52.9066,
        52.9066,
        52.9066,
        52.9066,
        52.9066,
        52.9066,
        52.9066
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-12T12:44:48.471Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.591935,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.591935,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 52.9066,
      "score_raw": 52.9066,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 25,
      "z": 0.232525
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-12T12:44:48.471Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 152,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-12T12:44:58.791Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.0272625438297327,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-12T12:44:49.714Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 12547.562842960386,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-12T12:44:53.768Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.02035745558548872,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.831321,
      "score": 62.9199,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.314277,
      "score": 43.953,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.062901,
      "score": 29.7655,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.591935,
      "score": 52.9066,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:50f733c751f41552c56fa9950bf44ae7effebf5f538bed7160287b7991701484",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-12T12:44:48.446Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 52.0463,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "intelligence-arena",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}