{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": {
    "direction": "escalate",
    "proposed_level": 3,
    "quorum_agreeing": null,
    "quorum_required": 2,
    "threshold": 58,
    "window_means": {},
    "windows_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ]
  },
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.0204,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-09T23:10:31.249Z",
  "hash": "sha256:89c82be1f334a807670b514bd9fe6f86afd1627c0d3bb5683c6c348ee25c669b",
  "id": "2026-10-09T23-10-31Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        67.1709,
        67.2536,
        67.351,
        67.365,
        67.3931,
        67.4071,
        67.4495,
        67.6996,
        67.7512,
        67.8031,
        67.8031,
        68.0318
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9873,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T23:10:31.268Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.915228,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.915228,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 67.5291,
      "score_raw": 67.1709,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 2699,
      "z": 1.37367
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T23:10:31.269Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 78,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T23:10:31.270Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4256,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T23:10:31.270Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 55,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        47.7107,
        47.7107,
        47.7107,
        47.7107,
        47.7107,
        47.7107,
        47.7107,
        47.6862,
        47.5802,
        47.5802,
        47.1224,
        47.3412
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9877,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T23:10:31.270Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.427342,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.427342,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 47.6127,
      "score_raw": 47.7107,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3207,
      "z": -0.183145
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T23:10:31.270Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 0.99,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T23:10:31.725Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.478425925925926,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        43.8274,
        43.5895,
        42.7188,
        42.9336,
        42.6493,
        42.1635,
        41.9236,
        40.8592,
        40.4625,
        40.1556,
        40.9244,
        44.1798
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9089,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T23:10:31.271Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.31072,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.31072,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 42.4454,
      "score_raw": 43.8274,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 1259,
      "z": -0.493811
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        32.8974
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.085623,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.085623,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 32.8974,
      "score_raw": 32.8974,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 87022.85714285714,
      "z": -1.368211
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T23:10:31.271Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.6,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.6,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 53.1668,
      "score_raw": 53.1668,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 26,
      "z": 0.253347
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T23:10:31.272Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 160,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T23:10:40.055Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.028710319683942713,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T23:10:32.378Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 35551.52309767632,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T23:10:36.505Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.022126003034450503,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.915228,
      "score": 67.5291,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.427342,
      "score": 47.6127,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.198172,
      "score": 37.6714,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.6,
      "score": 53.1668,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:158b1cd836f87d2e71cdf52d18ee442265d2c5ad695b093e87aecce321d96958",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-09T23:10:31.249Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "deadband",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 56.3052,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}