{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [
    "capability"
  ],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": true,
  "delta_from_previous": -9.0743,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-09T18:13:33.445Z",
  "hash": "sha256:81913a35ad6434df687b090483350551a17bff05d1948359a353aed3f6f36124",
  "id": "2026-10-09T18-13-33Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": "HTTP 429 Unknown Error from https://export.arxiv.org/api/query?search_query=(cat:cs.AI+OR+cat:cs.LG+OR+cat:cs.CL)+AND+submittedDate:[202610021813+TO+202610091813]&start=0&max_results=1 — Rate exceeded.",
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": null,
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "unit": null,
      "value": null,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T18:13:33.459Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 78,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T18:13:33.459Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4127,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T18:13:33.459Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 55,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        46.7793,
        46.9732,
        47.0275,
        46.9732,
        46.9732,
        46.9257,
        46.9257,
        46.8292,
        46.8292,
        46.8292,
        46.8292,
        46.8192
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9947,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T18:13:33.460Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.398335,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.398335,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 46.8936,
      "score_raw": 46.7793,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3101,
      "z": -0.257659
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T18:13:33.460Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 1.0275,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T18:13:33.868Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.4955555555555555,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        43.3115,
        44.1329,
        44.511,
        44.8214,
        44.6757,
        44.0895,
        43.8931,
        41.8152,
        41.6787,
        41.5368,
        42.987,
        42.513
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9267,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T18:13:33.460Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.296296,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.296296,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 43.5246,
      "score_raw": 43.3115,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 1232,
      "z": -0.535084
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        33.7886,
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        32.8974,
        32.8974
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9736,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.085623,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.085623,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 32.9786,
      "score_raw": 32.8974,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 87022.85714285714,
      "z": -1.368211
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T18:13:33.461Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.6,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.6,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 53.1668,
      "score_raw": 53.1668,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 26,
      "z": 0.253347
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T18:13:33.461Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 160,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T18:13:42.366Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.02844090990270376,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T18:13:35.793Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 39450.79888994132,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-09T18:13:38.663Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.022744220388934172,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": true,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.398335,
      "score": 46.8936,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.19096,
      "score": 38.2516,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.6,
      "score": 53.1668,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:8ea4d619c4bc47e0215590dcbabfdc6dc5ec510ae94348bfe6f5e83cab87161d",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-09T18:13:33.445Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "frozen_dark_pillar",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 48.2228,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}