{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": {
    "direction": "escalate",
    "proposed_level": 3,
    "quorum_agreeing": 1,
    "quorum_required": 2,
    "threshold": 58,
    "window_means": {
      "1800": 58.4018,
      "10800": 58.5953
    },
    "windows_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ]
  },
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.187,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-08T14:27:46.622Z",
  "hash": "sha256:20c360939cbeb4c933ef1c132224761e4794a2c709379fcfb94a3d078d305550",
  "id": "2026-10-08T14-27-46Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        69.2014,
        69.6238,
        70.1147,
        70.7621,
        71.1411,
        71.6439,
        72.0177,
        72.3764,
        72.6773,
        73.1217,
        null,
        null
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 10,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9464,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T14:27:46.641Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.937745,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.937745,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 71.069,
      "score_raw": 69.2014,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 2848,
      "z": 1.536116
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T14:27:46.642Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 78,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T14:27:46.642Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4669,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T14:27:46.642Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 56,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        47.1495,
        47.1427,
        47.0343,
        47.1021,
        47.0817,
        47.0343,
        47.0343,
        47.0343,
        47.0343,
        47.0343,
        47.0343,
        47.0343
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9976,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T14:27:46.642Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.409806,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.409806,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 47.0628,
      "score_raw": 47.1495,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3153,
      "z": -0.228044
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T14:27:46.643Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 0.65,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T14:27:47.209Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.4491851851851852,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        37.6117,
        40.9244,
        41.0264,
        40.9244,
        40.8124,
        40.7843,
        41.5964,
        43.4006,
        43.1772,
        41.8695,
        41.2783,
        41.1646
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.8666,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T14:27:46.643Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.160828,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.160828,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 40.7517,
      "score_raw": 37.6117,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 956,
      "z": -0.991061
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        33.7886,
        33.7886,
        33.7886,
        33.7886,
        33.7886,
        34.7085,
        34.7085,
        34.7085,
        34.7085,
        34.7085,
        34.7085,
        33.7886
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9735,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-07T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.09733,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.09733,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 34.2231,
      "score_raw": 33.7886,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 88269.85714285714,
      "z": -1.296916
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        56.555,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9875,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T14:27:46.644Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.7,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.7,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 56.2726,
      "score_raw": 56.555,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 31,
      "z": 0.524401
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T14:27:46.644Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 150,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T14:27:57.155Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.02894484201352433,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T14:27:48.140Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 38163.59853434934,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T14:27:52.168Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.012985620482087961,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.937745,
      "score": 71.069,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.409806,
      "score": 47.0628,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.129079,
      "score": 37.4874,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.7,
      "score": 56.2726,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:0c9bd98cd9b746c83d9dc1595c51d84b1dcb5918d0e3ea738ee423ad50a48fd1",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-08T14:27:46.622Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "quorum",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 58.4018,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}
