{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": {
    "direction": "escalate",
    "proposed_level": 3,
    "quorum_agreeing": 1,
    "quorum_required": 2,
    "threshold": 58,
    "window_means": {
      "1800": 59.3792,
      "10800": 59.4633
    },
    "windows_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ]
  },
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.1416,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-08T09:25:52.630Z",
  "hash": "sha256:4d5b502abba85d4b9eb094374ae1223709673b74b675cb49a41357cf553dc478",
  "id": "2026-10-08T09-25-52Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        71.6439,
        72.0177,
        72.3764,
        72.6773,
        73.1217,
        null,
        null,
        null,
        73.8298,
        73.8298,
        74.0726,
        74.5206
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 9,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9614,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T09:25:52.649Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.95832,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.95832,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 72.978,
      "score_raw": 71.6439,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 2988,
      "z": 1.731515
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T09:25:52.649Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 78,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T09:25:52.650Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4555,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T09:25:52.650Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 55,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        47.0343,
        47.0343,
        47.0343,
        47.0343,
        47.0343,
        47.0343,
        47.0343,
        null,
        null,
        null,
        null,
        null
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 7,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T09:25:52.650Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.406229,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.406229,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 47.0343,
      "score_raw": 47.0343,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3136,
      "z": -0.237256
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T09:25:52.650Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 0.8925,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T09:25:53.203Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.42888888888888893,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        40.7843,
        41.5964,
        43.4006,
        43.1772,
        41.8695,
        41.2783,
        41.1646,
        41.1371,
        42.513,
        42.513,
        42.4101,
        41.8152
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9397,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T09:25:52.651Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.230484,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.230484,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 41.9526,
      "score_raw": 40.7843,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 1125,
      "z": -0.737254
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        34.7085,
        34.7085,
        34.7085,
        34.7085,
        34.7085,
        34.7085,
        33.7886,
        33.7886,
        33.7886,
        34.7085,
        34.7085,
        34.7085
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9735,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-06T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.110604,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.110604,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 34.4885,
      "score_raw": 34.7085,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 90125.42857142858,
      "z": -1.223322
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        56.555,
        56.555,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9875,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T09:25:52.651Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.7,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.7,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 55.9719,
      "score_raw": 56.555,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 31,
      "z": 0.524401
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T09:25:52.651Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 150,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T09:26:03.083Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.03211967862720736,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T09:25:54.841Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 60860.69682879535,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-08T09:25:57.839Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.016869985606066108,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.95832,
      "score": 72.978,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.406229,
      "score": 47.0343,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.170544,
      "score": 38.2206,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.7,
      "score": 55.9719,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:30d8745ff214b140946bac1429e89ca0349d8e214f0fc6ed2efd763913bf3960",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-08T09:25:52.630Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "quorum",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 59.3792,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}
