{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.0375,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-04T20:47:58.058Z",
  "hash": "sha256:14c5a6e9d2618a3c7dbb4ce02ace68d2c95287018892a2ce4ce2f6f32d4b0416",
  "id": "2026-10-04T20-47-58Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        71.1216,
        71.6439,
        71.6857,
        71.7066,
        71.9205,
        71.9481,
        71.9481,
        72.0037,
        72.1022,
        72.1022,
        72.1589,
        72.2163
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9848,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T20:47:58.076Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.95446,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.95446,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 71.8658,
      "score_raw": 71.1216,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 2962,
      "z": 1.689728
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T20:47:58.077Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 78,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T20:47:58.078Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 3613,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T20:47:58.078Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 52,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T20:47:58.078Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.374446,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.374446,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 45.9987,
      "score_raw": 45.9987,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3021,
      "z": -0.320101
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T20:47:58.525Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 2.65,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T20:47:58.554Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.46888888888888886,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        35.7872,
        33.1953,
        33.9547,
        35.3372,
        37.1333,
        37.0796,
        37.0661,
        36.7484,
        38.2776,
        44.5568,
        44.5202,
        44.2048
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.745,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T20:47:58.079Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.127764,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.127764,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 35.673,
      "score_raw": 35.7872,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 869,
      "z": -1.137025
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-03T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.153732,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.153732,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 37.243,
      "score_raw": 37.243,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 95739.28571428572,
      "z": -1.020558
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T20:47:58.079Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.635,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.635,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 54.3141,
      "score_raw": 54.3141,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 28,
      "z": 0.345126
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T20:47:58.079Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 149,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T20:48:06.879Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.020578849025684447,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T20:47:58.948Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 13064.953969686698,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T20:48:05.198Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.014192549457456452,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.95446,
      "score": 71.8658,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.374446,
      "score": 45.9987,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.140748,
      "score": 36.458,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.635,
      "score": 54.3141,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:614d2c139a60169c3de41189cae1759fe599ca7d8a8e85863e8acdd3daf4089b",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-04T20:47:58.058Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 50.7689,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}
