{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.0509,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-04T14:58:32.176Z",
  "hash": "sha256:95dd40ad9559eba87bc8c80a1e18f30dd9bb67ab96721f556f6fd20fb5edb1f7",
  "id": "2026-10-04T14-58-32Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        73.4066,
        73.4238,
        73.4408,
        73.4927,
        73.5386,
        73.6537,
        73.8002,
        73.9806,
        74.1975,
        74.2927,
        74.2927,
        74.357
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9872,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T14:58:32.195Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.969433,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.969433,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 73.8075,
      "score_raw": 73.4066,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 3099,
      "z": 1.872525
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T14:58:32.195Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 78,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T14:58:32.196Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 3872,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T14:58:32.196Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 57,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987,
        45.9987
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T14:58:32.196Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.374446,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.374446,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 45.9987,
      "score_raw": 45.9987,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3021,
      "z": -0.320101
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T14:58:32.772Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 2.65,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T14:58:32.856Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.46311111111111114,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        40.6038,
        40.5333,
        40.4151,
        40.2363,
        40.1286,
        40.1286,
        39.8634,
        39.6264,
        39.5065,
        40.8031,
        40.7843,
        40.5803
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9682,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T14:58:32.197Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.226117,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.226117,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 40.27,
      "score_raw": 40.6038,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 1116,
      "z": -0.751696
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243,
        37.243
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-03T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.153732,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.153732,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 37.243,
      "score_raw": 37.243,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 95739.28571428572,
      "z": -1.020558
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T14:58:32.197Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.635,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.635,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 54.3141,
      "score_raw": 54.3141,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 28,
      "z": 0.345126
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T14:58:32.198Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 149,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T14:58:42.744Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.01880589936280305,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T14:58:33.571Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 51870.658662361726,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-04T14:58:36.771Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.008453097437554253,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.969433,
      "score": 73.8075,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.374446,
      "score": 45.9987,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.189924,
      "score": 38.7565,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.635,
      "score": 54.3141,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:fe1578241d22c1921f84a124c3275a33eb785fba26f32343232be6c1f08f1ac8",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-04T14:58:32.176Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "none",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 51.945,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}
