{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": {
    "direction": "escalate",
    "proposed_level": 3,
    "quorum_agreeing": null,
    "quorum_required": 2,
    "threshold": 58,
    "window_means": {},
    "windows_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ]
  },
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": -0.0519,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-03T18:08:02.674Z",
  "hash": "sha256:4bc27a0e84a94387a2bea0c9bf6003b29717633eca0ab51d381dba136bd73a86",
  "id": "2026-10-03T18-08-02Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        81.2213,
        81.2848,
        81.2848,
        81.4151,
        81.4976,
        null,
        null,
        81.826,
        81.8986,
        null,
        null,
        null
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 7,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9917,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-03T18:08:02.691Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.99375,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.99375,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 81.4841,
      "score_raw": 81.2213,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 3477,
      "z": 2.497705
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-03T18:08:02.691Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 78,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-03T18:08:02.692Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 3482,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-03T18:08:02.692Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 58,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        47.6129,
        47.6129,
        47.6129,
        47.6129,
        47.6129,
        47.6129,
        47.6129,
        47.6129,
        47.6129,
        47.6129,
        47.6129,
        47.8232
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9956,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-03T18:08:02.692Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.424274,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.424274,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 47.63,
      "score_raw": 47.6129,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3195,
      "z": -0.190971
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-03T18:08:03.312Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 2.65,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-03T18:08:03.499Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.41666666666666663,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        31.9503,
        32.0469,
        32.0469,
        31.9503,
        31.9503,
        32.0789,
        32.3305,
        32.3305,
        32.1741,
        32.0469,
        40.6038,
        40.0474
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.7869,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-03T18:08:02.693Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.074373,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.074373,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 32.3449,
      "score_raw": 31.9503,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 699,
      "z": -1.443975
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        37.6459,
        37.6459,
        37.6459,
        37.6459,
        37.6459,
        37.6459,
        37.6459,
        37.6459,
        37.6459,
        37.6459,
        37.6459,
        38.9479
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9666,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-02T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.161496,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.161496,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 37.7353,
      "score_raw": 37.6459,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 97686.42857142858,
      "z": -0.988328
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        55.8462,
        56.555
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9875,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-03T18:08:02.693Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.68,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.68,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 55.9013,
      "score_raw": 55.8462,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 30,
      "z": 0.467699
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-03T18:08:02.693Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 153,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-03T18:08:13.484Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.017517884571063003,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-03T18:08:03.988Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 60414.30565230504,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-03T18:08:10.774Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.015845814534758397,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.99375,
      "score": 81.4841,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.424274,
      "score": 47.63,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.117934,
      "score": 35.0401,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.68,
      "score": 55.9013,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:22b063b4c0eed45f590e2d4809cd4782eb29ecce7f117fce153e3eba4a4b380f",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-03T18:08:02.674Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "deadband",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 55.253,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}
