{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [
    "capability"
  ],
  "decision": null,
  "degraded": true,
  "delta_from_previous": -15.412,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-01T07:26:44.715Z",
  "hash": "sha256:1e79280e59f85cbdaf84b76836c3f9ecf487e291f3e9db0f4da24e2af3644e1a",
  "id": "2026-10-01T07-26-44Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": "HTTP 503 Service Unavailable from https://export.arxiv.org/api/query?search_query=(cat:cs.AI+OR+cat:cs.LG+OR+cat:cs.CL)+AND+submittedDate:[202609240726+TO+202610010726]&start=0&max_results=1 — <!DOCTYPE html> <html> <head> <meta charset=\"UTF-8\"> <title>503</title> </head> <body> 503 </body> </html>",
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": null,
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "unit": null,
      "value": null,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T07:26:44.733Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 75,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T07:26:44.734Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4974,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T07:26:44.734Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 60,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        47.075,
        47.075,
        47.075,
        47.075,
        47.075,
        47.075,
        47.075,
        47.075,
        48.6003,
        48.6003,
        48.5682,
        48.1561
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9686,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T07:26:44.734Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.407492,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.407492,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 47.487,
      "score_raw": 47.075,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3142,
      "z": -0.234001
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T07:26:45.158Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 0.615,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T07:26:44.983Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.48744444444444446,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        39.6662,
        39.0686,
        38.6902,
        38.601,
        38.7493,
        39.8503,
        39.5866,
        39.4797,
        39.4256,
        39.0408,
        38.1407,
        37.8197
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.949,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T07:26:44.735Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.204202,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.204202,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 39.0498,
      "score_raw": 39.6662,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 1070,
      "z": -0.826706
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        39.208,
        39.208,
        39.208,
        39.208,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9887,
      "observed_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.193969,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.193969,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 39.5008,
      "score_raw": 39.208,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 102259.14285714286,
      "z": -0.863363
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        55.8462,
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        54.9857
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9846,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T07:26:44.735Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.68,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.68,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 55.0637,
      "score_raw": 55.8462,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 30,
      "z": 0.467699
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T07:26:44.736Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 148,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T07:26:53.521Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.02076727346927283,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T07:26:45.567Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 13281.881034796132,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T07:26:48.172Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.040939846733632324,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": true,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.407492,
      "score": 47.487,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.199085,
      "score": 39.2753,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.68,
      "score": 55.0637,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:308e6cb2f225ccbb949aa4f66e97b47050b73caa7477e3774c4b659ed683a6f8",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-01T07:26:44.715Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "frozen_dark_pillar",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 41.3387,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}