{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": {
    "direction": "escalate",
    "proposed_level": 3,
    "quorum_agreeing": null,
    "quorum_required": 2,
    "threshold": 58,
    "window_means": {},
    "windows_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ]
  },
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": 0.5159,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-01T02:22:56.161Z",
  "hash": "sha256:ad338968b13ffca053ea0547d96797ae8bb1e67dc04be7b2d2a56023089fa990",
  "id": "2026-10-01T02-22-56Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        87.4326,
        85.4625,
        78.0121,
        78.2672,
        78.3844,
        78.5346,
        78.848,
        79.1109,
        79.2601,
        null,
        79.6767,
        79.8675
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 11,
      "nowcast_w": 0.8923,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T02:22:56.179Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 1,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.998626,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 80.9483,
      "score_raw": 87.4326,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 3991,
      "z": 2.994606
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T02:22:56.180Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 74,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T02:22:56.181Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4815,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T02:22:56.181Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 62,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        47.075,
        47.075,
        47.075,
        48.6003,
        48.6003,
        48.5682,
        48.1561,
        48.0243,
        48.0088,
        47.9702,
        47.9083,
        47.8697
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9686,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T02:22:56.181Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.407492,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.407492,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 47.8859,
      "score_raw": 47.075,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3142,
      "z": -0.234001
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T02:22:56.900Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 0.615,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T02:22:56.892Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.4162962962962963,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        39.8503,
        39.5866,
        39.4797,
        39.4256,
        39.0408,
        38.1407,
        37.8197,
        38.8668,
        43.3115,
        42.1277,
        48.9259,
        47.0044
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.773,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T02:22:56.182Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.208403,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.208403,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 39.8028,
      "score_raw": 39.8503,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 1084,
      "z": -0.811975
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 1,
      "observed_at": "2026-09-29T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.204006,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.204006,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 39.6575,
      "score_raw": 39.6575,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 105890,
      "z": -0.827397
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        54.9857,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        54.9857,
        54.9857
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9669,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T02:22:56.182Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.655,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.655,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 54.5703,
      "score_raw": 54.9857,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 29,
      "z": 0.398855
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T02:22:56.183Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 148,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T02:23:06.611Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.02111247037318078,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T02:22:57.851Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 11776.084835373189,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-10-01T02:23:00.748Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.025982685447912306,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 1,
      "score": 80.9483,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.407492,
      "score": 47.8859,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.206205,
      "score": 39.7301,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.655,
      "score": 54.5703,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:cb0734c03a6bf3dc238a9ad5cc7b7c54aba1cbc36989a481c264a54e8ffdb932",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-10-01T02:22:56.161Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "deadband",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 55.5233,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}