{
  "constants": {
    "boundaries": {
      "2": 85,
      "3": 70,
      "4": 55,
      "5": 35
    },
    "composite_weights": {
      "max": 0.3,
      "mean": 0.7
    },
    "deadband": 3,
    "dwell_down_seconds": [
      43200,
      10800
    ],
    "dwell_up_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ],
    "lock_ms": 14400000,
    "min_interval_ms": 21600000,
    "nowcast_min_weight": 0.5,
    "nowcast_window": 12,
    "quorum": 2,
    "rounding": {
      "percentile_decimals": 6,
      "score_decimals": 4
    },
    "score_centre": 50,
    "score_z_scale": 12.5
  },
  "dark_pillars": [],
  "decision": {
    "direction": "escalate",
    "proposed_level": 3,
    "quorum_agreeing": null,
    "quorum_required": 2,
    "threshold": 58,
    "window_means": {},
    "windows_seconds": [
      10800,
      1800
    ]
  },
  "degraded": false,
  "delta_from_previous": 0.2661,
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-09-30T09:24:03.255Z",
  "hash": "sha256:b1c662995cb381e55cee25e0e5ace4954931b0ae451195b147ebf1cf8d0c1459",
  "id": "2026-09-30T09-24-03Z",
  "inputs": [
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "arxiv",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        81.3173,
        81.6676,
        81.8622,
        81.9897,
        82.2948,
        82.4754,
        null,
        75.9616,
        67.7858,
        67.9784,
        68.0496,
        68.1755
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 11,
      "nowcast_w": 0.8219,
      "observed_at": "2026-09-30T09:24:03.271Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.993884,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.993884,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "reference_key": "arxiv",
      "score": 79.6553,
      "score_raw": 81.3173,
      "unit": "papers/7d",
      "value": 3483,
      "z": 2.50538
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"github-releases\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "github-releases",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-09-30T09:24:03.272Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "releases/30d",
      "value": 71,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"huggingface\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "huggingface",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-09-30T09:24:03.272Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/24h",
      "value": 4377,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"openrouter\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "openrouter",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-09-30T09:24:03.272Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "capability",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "models/30d",
      "value": 63,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "sec-fts",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        47.3807,
        47.3807,
        47.3807,
        47.3807,
        47.3807,
        47.3807,
        47.3807,
        47.3807,
        47.3807,
        47.3807,
        47.3807,
        47.2886
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9981,
      "observed_at": "2026-09-30T09:24:03.272Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.417011,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.417011,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "reference_key": "sec-fts",
      "score": 47.3731,
      "score_raw": 47.3807,
      "unit": "filings/30d",
      "value": 3171,
      "z": -0.209546
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"stockanalysis\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "stockanalysis",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-09-30T09:24:04.174Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mean_abs_percent_change",
      "value": 0.8125,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"vastai\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "vastai",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-09-30T09:24:03.927Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "compute",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "usd/gpu/hour",
      "value": 0.4557407407407408,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "hn",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        51.5181,
        56.4836,
        56.4512,
        56.099,
        56.3543,
        55.994,
        56.1517,
        55.7394,
        55.5283,
        56.6706,
        56.178,
        55.4309
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9091,
      "observed_at": "2026-09-30T09:24:03.273Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.548333,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.548333,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "hn",
      "score": 55.5368,
      "score_raw": 51.5181,
      "unit": "points/24h",
      "value": 1742,
      "z": 0.121451
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "wikipedia",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        39.6575,
        40.0008,
        40.0008,
        40.0008,
        40.0008,
        40.0008
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9914,
      "observed_at": "2026-09-29T23:59:59.999Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.204006,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.204006,
      "pillar": "attention",
      "reference_key": "wikipedia",
      "score": 39.7962,
      "score_raw": 39.6575,
      "unit": "pageviews/day",
      "value": 105890,
      "z": -0.827397
    },
    {
      "error": null,
      "id": "federal-register",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": [
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        53.1668,
        54.3141,
        54.3141,
        54.3141
      ],
      "nowcast_used": 12,
      "nowcast_w": 0.9789,
      "observed_at": "2026-09-30T09:24:03.273Z",
      "ok": true,
      "percentile": 0.6,
      "percentile_adjusted": 0.6,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "reference_key": "federal-register",
      "score": 53.4267,
      "score_raw": 53.1668,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 26,
      "z": 0.253347
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"govuk\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "govuk",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-09-30T09:24:03.273Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "governance",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "documents/30d",
      "value": 143,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"kalshi\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "kalshi",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-09-30T09:24:13.744Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.01832811656471831,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"manifold\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "manifold",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-09-30T09:24:05.551Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "mana/24h",
      "value": 22190.149998400615,
      "z": null
    },
    {
      "error": "uncalibrated: \"polymarket\" has no entry in data/reference.json yet, so it is collected and published but not scored",
      "id": "polymarket",
      "label": null,
      "nowcast_series": null,
      "nowcast_w": null,
      "observed_at": "2026-09-30T09:24:08.556Z",
      "ok": false,
      "percentile": null,
      "pillar": "markets",
      "score": null,
      "score_raw": null,
      "uncalibrated": true,
      "unit": "prob_points/day",
      "value": 0.027466830782288055,
      "z": null
    }
  ],
  "level": 4,
  "level_changed": false,
  "level_name": "ROUTINE",
  "pillars": [
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "capability",
      "name": "Capability",
      "percentile": 0.993884,
      "score": 79.6553,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 4,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "compute",
      "name": "Compute & Capital",
      "percentile": 0.417011,
      "score": 47.3731,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "attention",
      "name": "Attention",
      "percentile": 0.376169,
      "score": 47.6665,
      "sources_ok": 2,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "governance",
      "name": "Governance",
      "percentile": 0.6,
      "score": 53.4267,
      "sources_ok": 1,
      "sources_total": 2,
      "uncalibrated": false
    },
    {
      "dark": false,
      "id": "markets",
      "name": "Markets",
      "percentile": null,
      "score": null,
      "sources_ok": 0,
      "sources_total": 3,
      "uncalibrated": true
    }
  ],
  "prev_hash": "sha256:c598659f9a0f5d284979d30f96c24177d4ec69d1d8be20dd4ff0f5f4779b43f4",
  "raw_generated_at": "2026-09-30T09:24:03.255Z",
  "reference": {
    "built_at": "2026-09-23T20:03:56.869Z",
    "hash": "sha256:f91658b2dc572ae2b5a74ff21e869dd9aa6f814ff68f1b66462708b91dfaf6e7"
  },
  "rule_fired": "deadband",
  "schema": 1,
  "score": 55.8336,
  "uncalibrated_pillars": [
    "markets"
  ],
  "uncalibrated_sources": [
    "github-releases",
    "huggingface",
    "openrouter",
    "stockanalysis",
    "vastai",
    "govuk",
    "kalshi",
    "manifold",
    "polymarket"
  ]
}